Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League
[legacy approach]

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In a thrilling Colombian Primera A match held on June 15, 2025, Independiente Medellín defeated Deportes Tolima 2-1 at the Atanasio Girardot stadium. Léider Berrío opened the scoring for Medellín in the 18th minute, while Gonzalo Lencina equalized for Tolima in the 70th minute. Juan David Arizala secured the victory for Medellín with a late goal in the 93rd minute. Despite having only 36.9% possession, Medellín managed to score twice, capitalizing on their opportunities. Tolima, with 63.1% possession and more shots (15 compared to Medellín's 8), struggled to convert their dominance into goals, only managing two shots on target.
The AI had predicted a win for Independiente Medellín, which proved accurate. However, the AI model didn't expect a balanced game. Independiente Medellín had a pre-game win probability of 48.2%, while Deportes Tolima had a 25.6% chance of winning, and the draw probability was 26.3%. The game saw a total of 8 yellow cards, with Medellín receiving 3 and Tolima 5, indicating a fiercely contested match.
Independiente Medellín's recent form has been strong, winning four of their last five matches. They are demonstrating consistency in finding the net, as seen in their previous encounter against Tolima on June 4th, where they won 3-1. Deportes Tolima's form has been more inconsistent, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five games. They won against America de Cali 3-1 on June 12th, but struggled to convert their possession into goals in this match.
The previous head-to-head games show a mixed record, with both teams securing victories. Independiente Medellín's recent win continues their momentum in the league. This victory will boost Independiente Medellin's confidence for their upcoming matches. Deportes Tolima needs to address their conversion rate and discipline to improve their results. This match highlights Independiente Medellín's ability to maximize opportunities and secure crucial wins.

On June 15, 2025, Independiente Medellín will face Deportes Tolima at the Atanasio Girardot in a highly anticipated Colombian Primera A match. An AI prediction model gives Independiente Medellín a 48.2% chance of winning, while Deportes Tolima has a 25.6% chance, and a draw is predicted with 26.3% probability. Despite Deportes Tolima having a slightly better team rate, the AI is leaning towards a home victory for Independiente Medellín. Independiente Medellín, boosted by the strong performances of their midfielder, Miguel Monsalve, who dictates the tempo of the game, will try to capitalize on their recent winning streak at home. Deportes Tolima will rely on their experienced striker, Juan Fernando Caicedo, to break through Medellin's defense. The last head-to-head encounter on June 4th saw Independiente Medellín secure a convincing 3-1 away win, a result they will aim to replicate. Will the AI's prediction hold true, or can Deportes Tolima defy the odds? Fans eagerly await the clash to find out.