Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In a surprising turn of events in the Colombian Primera A, Independiente Medellín triumphed over Deportes Tolima with a score of 3-1 at the Manuel Murillo Toro stadium. Deportes Tolima started strong, with Julián Quiñones scoring in the 15th minute. However, Independiente Medellín responded with goals from Francisco Fydriszewski (34'), Léider Berrío (48'), and Brayan León Muñiz (73'). The match concluded with Kevin Pérez of Deportes Tolima receiving a red card in added time.
Despite Deportes Tolima having more possession (52.5% to 47.5%) and marginally more shots (12 to 9), Independiente Medellín proved more clinical, converting 6 of their shots on target compared to Tolima's 6. Both teams committed a similar number of fouls, with Independiente Medellín committing slightly more (17 to 15). Independiente Medellin's goalkeeper also made 5 saves, compared to Tolima's 3. The match saw 4 yellow cards for Deportes Tolima and 5 for Independiente Medellín, indicating a physical contest.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored Deportes Tolima, assigning them a 48.4% win probability, while Independiente Medellín had only a 24.8% chance. The AI model did not expect a balanced game, thus, Independiente Medellin's victory was an upset according to the AI.
Deportes Tolima's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of wins, losses, and draws. Their next game is against América de Cali. Independiente Medellín's form has also been patchy, with recent losses and draws alongside victories. Their next challenge is against Atlético Junior.
Considering their previous encounters, Deportes Tolima won the most recent match on May 15, 2025, against Independiente Medellín. However, Independiente Medellín's dominant performance in this game signals a potential shift in their head-to-head dynamic, suggesting they might be finding renewed form. Deportes Tolima will need to regroup defensively before their next match against America de Cali, given their recent struggles to maintain clean sheets. Independiente Medellín, on the other hand, will be looking to build on this victory when they face Atlético Junior, aiming for more consistency in their attacking play.