Football Result

Edwin Cardona 15' Pen
Hárold Mosquera 52' Pen
Ewil Murillo 85'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
55%
24.2%
20.9%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
0.592
0.591
Game Stats
Goals
1
1
Shots on Target
3
1
Shots
12
12
Possession
53.7%
46.3%
Fouls
9
12
Yellow Cards
2
3
Red Cards
0
1
Corners
7
4
Offsides
2
1
Saves
0
2
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-4-2


Location
Atanasio Girardot, Medellin, Colombia
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
2025-07-26 | Game Summary

On July 25, 2025, Atletico Nacional and Independiente Santa Fe played to a 1-1 draw in their Colombian Primera A Clausura match at Atanasio Girardot. Edwin Cardona scored a penalty for Atletico Nacional in the 15th minute, while Harold Mosquera equalized with a penalty for Independiente Santa Fe in the 52nd minute. Ewil Murillo of Independiente Santa Fe received a red card in the 85th minute.
Atletico Nacional had slightly more possession at 53.7% compared to Independiente Santa Fe's 46.3%. Both teams had 12 total shots, but Atletico Nacional had more shots on target (3) than Independiente Santa Fe (1). The AI prediction favored Atletico Nacional to win, but the game ended in a draw, making the AI prediction incorrect. The AI model expected a balanced game.
Atletico Nacional's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of wins and losses. Their upcoming Copa Colombia match against Cucuta Deportivo presents an opportunity to regain momentum. Independiente Santa Fe, on the other hand, has been relatively stable with several draws and a couple of wins in their recent matches. Their next league match is against Millonarios.
In their previous encounters, the matches between Atletico Nacional and Independiente Santa Fe have been closely contested. Atletico Nacional's last match was a loss to Deportivo Pereira where they also accumulated 2 red cards. Independiente Santa Fe's last match ended in a goalless draw against Aguilas Doradas.
Atletico Nacional played in a 4-2-3-1 formation, while Independiente Santa Fe used a 4-4-2 formation. Atletico Nacional's home team rate is 0.592, while Independiente Santa Fe's away team rate is 0.591, both indicating relatively balanced teams.

2025-07-24 | Pre-game insights

On July 25, 2025, Atlético Nacional will face Independiente Santa Fe at the Atanasio Girardot stadium in Medellin, Colombia, in a highly anticipated Colombian Primera A match. AI predicts a victory for Atlético Nacional, with a 55.0% win probability. Despite Atlético Nacional's recent loss against Deportivo Pereira due to two red cards, their key forward, Jefferson Duque, will be looking to add to his goal tally. The AI’s prediction considers both teams' recent form and historical data. Independiente Santa Fe, coming off a draw against Águilas Doradas, will rely on their solid defense to try and upset the prediction. However, Atlético Nacional's home advantage and slightly stronger team rating give them the edge. The AI also gives Independiente Santa Fe a 20.9% chance of winning and a 24.2% of a draw.