Football Result

Edwin Cardona 44'
Hugo Rodallega 60'
Yilmar Velázquez 90'+6'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
54.2%
24.9%
20.9%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
[legacy approach]
0.569
0.535
Game Stats
Goals
1
2
Shots on Target
4
8
Shots
21
13
Possession
65.8%
34.2%
Fouls
11
14
Yellow Cards
1
3
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
5
5
Offsides
2
1
Saves
5
3
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-1-4-1


Location
Atanasio Girardot, Medellin, Colombia
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
2025-06-09 | Game Summary

In a surprising turn of events in the Colombian Primera A, Independiente Santa Fe defeated Atlético Nacional 2-1 at the Atanasio Girardot in Medellin. Atlético Nacional dominated possession with 65.8%, and unleashed 21 shots, but only managed 4 on target. Independiente Santa Fe, with just 34.2% possession, were more clinical, converting 2 of their 8 shots on target. Edwin Cardona scored for Atlético Nacional in the 44th minute, but Hugo Rodallega equalized for Santa Fe in the 60th minute. Yilmar Velázquez sealed the victory for the visitors with a goal in the 96th minute.
The AI predicted an Atlético Nacional win with a 54.2% probability, making this result an upset. The pre-game analysis did not anticipate a balanced game, further highlighting the unexpected outcome.
Atlético Nacional's recent form has been shaky, with a series of draws and losses in their last few matches, including a defeat in the CONMEBOL Libertadores. Independiente Santa Fe, on the other hand, have shown more resilience, with a mix of wins and losses, demonstrating their ability to bounce back from setbacks. Notably, Independiente Santa Fe had 3 yellow cards versus 1 for Atletico Nacional, suggesting a more physical approach.
Looking back at the last head-to-head games, Atlético Nacional had previously enjoyed some dominant victories over Independiente Santa Fe, but the most recent encounter in February ended in a draw. This victory for Independiente Santa Fe breaks a previous trend.
Both teams will face each other again on June 12th at Nemesio Camacho in Bogota. Atlético Nacional needs to address their finishing and defensive vulnerabilities if they want to turn the tables. Independiente Santa Fe will be looking to capitalize on their momentum and secure another victory. Their recent win against Once Caldas and the ability to score away from home could prove crucial in the upcoming match. Given Atlético Nacional's recent struggles, Independiente Santa Fe might have a slight edge going into the next game, despite playing at home.

2025-06-07 | Pre-game insights

On June 8, 2025, Atlético Nacional will face Independiente Santa Fe at Atanasio Girardot in a highly anticipated Colombian Primera A match. An AI model predicts a victory for Atlético Nacional, with a 54.2% win probability compared to Santa Fe's 20.9%. The AI's analysis also suggests a 24.9% chance of a draw. Atlético Nacional's recent form has been inconsistent, with several draws and losses in their last few matches, while Independiente Santa Fe have had mixed results too. All eyes will be on Atlético Nacional's young midfielder, promising to control the game's tempo. Given their historical head-to-head record, where Atlético Nacional has dominated recently, the AI's prediction seems plausible. The fans eagerly await to see if the AI's forecast will come to fruition.