Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In the intense 2nd leg of the Mexican Liga BBVA MX Clausura 2025 Finals, Toluca triumphed over América with a 2-0 victory at Estadio Nemesio Díez Riega, securing the championship title with a 2-0 aggregate score. Luan broke the deadlock in the 65th minute, followed by Alexis Vega's penalty in the 82nd minute, sealing the win for Toluca. Despite América dominating possession with 62.9%, they failed to convert it into goals, registering zero shots on target from their total of four attempts. Toluca, with only 37.1% possession, were more clinical, managing three shots on target from their fifteen attempts. The game saw 13 fouls committed by Toluca and 10 by América, with two yellow cards shown to Toluca players and one to an América player.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction correctly forecasted a Toluca win, aligning with the actual result. However, the AI model did not anticipate a balanced game. Considering the pre-game win probabilities, Toluca had a 43.9% chance of winning, while América had a 28.5% chance, and a draw was predicted at 27.5%.
Toluca's recent form has been strong, with three wins and two draws in their last five games, showcasing their ability to perform well at home. Their previous match against América ended in a goalless draw, making this victory even more significant. América's form has been inconsistent, with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five games. Their attack struggled to find the net in this crucial final, continuing a concerning trend from the first leg.
Analyzing previous head-to-head encounters reveals that América had the upper hand recently, winning three out of five matches before the drawn first leg. However, Toluca's dominant 4-0 victory in November 2024 at the same venue hinted at their potential to upset América. Toluca's tactical setup, a 5-3-2 formation, proved effective in stifling América's attack and capitalizing on their own opportunities. América employed the same formation but couldn't unlock Toluca's defense. This victory marks a significant achievement for Toluca, highlighting their resilience and tactical prowess in the Mexican Liga BBVA MX.

On May 25, 2025, Toluca will face América at Estadio Nemesio Díez Riega in a highly anticipated Liga BBVA MX clash. According to AI predictions, Toluca is favored to win, despite América having a slightly higher team rate. The AI gives Toluca a 43.9% chance of victory compared to América's 28.5%, while a draw sits at 27.5%. Toluca's recent form has been positive, with two wins and two draws in their last five matches, including a dominant 3-0 victory against Tigres UANL. Their key player, Marcel Ruiz, will be crucial in controlling the midfield. América, despite their attacking talent, has struggled for consistency lately, and their star striker, Julián Quiñones, will need to be at his best to defy the prediction. Although América beat Toluca 3-0 in their last match, Toluca is a strong team at home, which makes the prediction realistic. Will the AI be correct, or can América upset the odds?