Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In the first leg of the Mexican Liga BBVA MX Clausura 2025 Finals, América and Toluca played to a scoreless draw at Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes. The match, played on May 22, 2025, saw América controlling the majority of possession at 59.6%, but failing to convert that dominance into goals. América managed only one shot on target from their seven total shots. Toluca, playing with a 5-3-2 formation, were slightly more threatening, registering three shots on target out of eight total shots.
The game was physical, with Toluca committing 19 fouls compared to América's 10. Both teams received two yellow cards each. Despite the high foul count, the game events were uneventful. The AI prediction before the game favored América with a 48.8% win probability, while only 25.2% for Toluca, and 26.0% for a draw, which ultimately turned out to be the actual result. The AI model did not expect a balanced game.
Considering América's recent form, they had won three of their last five matches, including a 2-1 victory against Cruz Azul in their most recent home game prior to this final. Meanwhile, Toluca had won three, drawn one, and lost one of their last five, demonstrating a similar level of competitiveness.
Historically, América has had the upper hand in recent head-to-head matches, but Toluca had a dominant 4-0 win in November 2024, proving they are capable of defeating América. Analyzing recent results, América displayed a strong attacking ability, scoring 5 goals against Mazatlán. Toluca, in their last game, defeated Tigres UANL 3-0, also showcasing their offensive capabilities.
The upcoming second leg, to be played at Estadio Nemesio Díez Riega in Toluca, is crucial. América's away form will be tested, while Toluca will look to capitalize on their home advantage. In the next match, America´s rate is 0.648, a bit lower than in the previous game (0.652), while Toluca´s rate is 0.592, also a bit lower than in the previous game (0.594). Given the tight nature of this first leg, the second leg promises to be a tense and closely contested affair, as both teams aim to secure the Mexican Liga BBVA MX title.

On May 22, 2025, all eyes will be on Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes in Mexico City as América clashes with Toluca in a highly anticipated Mexican Liga BBVA MX match. According to advanced AI algorithms, América is favored to win, boasting a 48.8% win probability compared to Toluca's 25.2%. The draw probability sits at 26.0%. América, with a team strength rate of 0.652, has shown strong form recently, including a 2-1 victory over Cruz Azul. Their star forward, Julián Quiñones, is expected to lead the charge with his clinical finishing.
However, Toluca, rated at 0.594, will not be an easy opponent. They are coming off a convincing 3-0 win against Tigres UANL. Their attacking midfielder, Marcel Ruiz, will be crucial for them, hoping to unlock América's defense with his creative plays. While América has dominated recent head-to-head matchups, Toluca's fighting spirit and tactical flexibility could pose a threat. Despite the AI's prediction, the beautiful game is always full of surprises.