Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

Toluca dominated Tigres UANL in the second leg of their Mexican Liga BBVA MX Semifinals Clausura 2025 clash, securing a resounding 3-0 victory at Estadio Nemesio Díez Riega. This win ensured Toluca's advancement with a 4-1 aggregate score. Alexis Vega was the star of the show, netting a penalty and another goal in the 82nd minute, while Edgar López contributed with a goal in the 79th minute. Toluca's tactical approach, employing a 4-2-3-1 formation, proved more effective than Tigres UANL's 3-4-2-1.
While Tigres UANL maintained a slightly higher possession (53.5% vs. 46.5%), they struggled to convert it into meaningful chances, managing only one shot on target compared to Toluca's impressive eight. Toluca's aggressive play resulted in more fouls committed (12 vs. 9) and yellow cards (3 vs. 2). The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored a Toluca win with a 51.1% probability, which proved accurate.
Analyzing previous games, Toluca has shown a mixed form with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, including a 1-1 draw against Tigres UANL in the first leg. In contrast, Tigres UANL has struggled with four draws and one loss in their last five games, showcasing inconsistent performance, which was reflected in the game. Toluca's recent home form has been stronger, giving them an edge in this crucial match.
Looking at previous head-to-head encounters, the results have been relatively balanced, though Toluca won the previous match at their home ground, played on February 1st, 2025. This victory extends Toluca's good form at home against Tigres UANL. Considering their current form and home advantage, Toluca capitalized on Tigres UANL's weaknesses to secure a well-deserved spot in the next stage.

On May 17, 2025, Toluca will face Tigres UANL at Estadio Nemesio Díez Riega in a highly anticipated Mexican Liga BBVA MX match. According to AI predictions, Toluca has a 51.1% chance of winning, despite Tigres UANL slightly better team rate (0.594 against Toluca's 0.587). The algorithm gives Tigres UANL a 23.3% chance of victory, with a 25.5% chance of a draw. Toluca's recent form has been mixed, while Tigres UANL are coming off a string of draws. Fans will be watching Toluca's attacking midfielder, Marcel Ruiz, closely, hoping he can unlock Tigres' defense. For Tigres, André-Pierre Gignac will be key to their chances of upsetting the prediction. All eyes will be on Toluca as they aim to defy the recent head-to-head game ending in draw.