Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

The first leg of the Mexican Liga BBVA MX Semifinals between Tigres UANL and Toluca concluded in a 1-1 draw at Estadio Universitario. Nicolás Ibáñez put Tigres ahead in the 19th minute, but Paulinho equalized for Toluca in first-half stoppage time. The game was tightly contested, with Tigres maintaining slightly more possession (56.3%) compared to Toluca (43.7%). However, Toluca generated more scoring opportunities, recording 15 total shots with 7 on target, while Tigres managed just 7 shots with 3 on target. Tigres committed slightly fewer fouls (13) compared to Toluca (14), and received more yellow cards (2 compared to Toluca's 1).
The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored a Tigres UANL win, which ultimately proved incorrect as the match ended in a draw. The AI model did not expect a balanced game. Tigres' recent form has been inconsistent, with multiple draws in their last few matches, including a draw against Necaxa in the previous league game and elimination from the Concacaf Champions Cup. Toluca's form has been more positive, securing recent wins against Monterrey, Atletico San Luis and Atlas, although they did lose to Monterrey in the second leg.
Analyzing the game in relation to previous encounters, the head-to-head record between these teams has been relatively balanced, with both teams securing wins in recent matches. The last head-to-head game at Toluca ended in a 1-0 victory for the home side. This draw sets up a crucial second leg at Estadio Nemesio Díez Riega in Toluca, where both teams will be vying for a spot in the Mexican Liga BBVA MX final. Toluca's home advantage and recent scoring form could give them a slight edge. Tigres will need to improve their attacking efficiency and shore up their defense if they hope to advance. This draw breaks Tigres' home win streak against Toluca (Tigres won the last head-to-head home game against Toluca).

On May 14th, 2025, Tigres UANL will face Toluca at Estadio Universitario in a highly anticipated Mexican Liga BBVA MX match. An AI prediction model forecasts a Tigres UANL victory, assigning them a 41.0% win probability compared to Toluca's 32.8%, with a 26.2% chance of a draw. Tigres, led by their prolific striker, André-Pierre Gignac, will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage. However, their recent form has been inconsistent with several draws in their last matches. Toluca, despite a slightly lower team rate, will rely on their own attacking prowess, spearheaded by Marcel Ruiz, hoping to upset the prediction. The last head-to-head games have been tight, so the Tigres defense must be solid to avoid a Toluca surprise. Fans eagerly await the clash, wondering if AI will once again prove its predictive accuracy.