Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

In a thrilling Mexican Liga BBVA MX Quarterfinals second leg match held at Estadio Nemesio Díez Riega, Toluca edged out Monterrey with a 2-1 victory. This result, combined with Monterrey's 3-2 win in the first leg, meant the tie was level on aggregate. Toluca advanced due to being the higher seed in the Clausura 2025 standings.
The game was characterized by intense moments, including two red cards for Toluca players: Helinho in the 21st minute and Antonio Briseño in the 32nd. Despite being down to nine men, Toluca managed to score twice, with Alexis Vega finding the net in the 30th minute and Paulinho in the 68th minute. Monterrey's Roberto de la Rosa scored in the 48th minute, but it wasn't enough to secure their progression.
Monterrey dominated possession with 64.8%, compared to Toluca's 35.2%. However, Toluca proved more clinical, converting their chances effectively despite having fewer shots overall (10 to Monterrey's 13) and the same number of shots on target (3). Both teams committed a similar number of fouls, with Toluca committing 12 to Monterrey's 9, and each team received three yellow cards.
The AI's pre-game prediction of a Toluca win proved accurate. The AI model didn't expect a balanced game, likely considering Toluca's home advantage. Before the game, Toluca had a 48.3% win probability, while Monterrey's win probability was at 26.4%. The draw probability was predicted at 25.3%.
Toluca's recent form has been strong, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their previous five league games. Monterrey, prior to this match, had four wins and one loss. Toluca's ability to secure a victory despite the significant handicap of two red cards speaks volumes about their resilience and tactical adjustments.
Looking back at the previous head-to-head games, Toluca has shown that they can compete with Monterrey, alternating wins and draws. This game reflects the competitive nature of this rivalry in the Mexican Liga BBVA MX. It remains to be seen if Toluca can carry this momentum into the next round.

On May 10, 2025, all eyes will be on Estadio Nemesio Díez Riega as Toluca hosts Monterrey in a crucial Liga BBVA MX clash. AI algorithms predict a Toluca victory, despite Monterrey holding a slightly higher team rate. The home side boasts a 48.3% win probability, compared to Monterrey's 26.4%, with a 25.3% chance of a draw. Toluca's recent form has been inconsistent, but their home advantage might prove decisive. Keep an eye on Toluca's attacking midfielder, Marcel Ruiz, whose creativity could unlock Monterrey's defense. Monterrey, meanwhile, will rely on the prolific goal-scoring ability of Germán Berterame to challenge the predicted outcome. Monterrey's recent victory over Toluca will surely fuel their confidence. However, the AI suggests Toluca's tactical adjustments and home support will give them the edge in this anticipated match.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game