Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

In a thrilling first-leg quarterfinal match of the Mexican Liga BBVA MX Clausura 2025, Monterrey defeated Toluca 3-2 at Estadio BBVA. The game, played on May 7, 2025, saw Monterrey dominate possession with 54.2% compared to Toluca's 45.8%. Monterrey also had more shots, 11 in total, with 7 on target, while Toluca only managed 5 shots with 2 on target. Nelson Deossa scored the opening goal for Monterrey in the 44th minute, followed by Sergio Canales in the 50th and Germán Berterame in the 69th minute. Toluca's goals came from Víctor Guzmán (own goal in the 16th minute) and Luan in the 82nd minute.
Monterrey's formation was 3-5-2, while Toluca played with a 4-2-3-1 formation. Monterrey committed more fouls (13) and received more yellow cards (3) than Toluca (11 fouls, 2 yellow cards). The AI prediction before the game was a Monterrey win, which turned out to be accurate. The AI model did not expect a balanced game, which aligns with Monterrey's dominance in possession and shots on target. Monterrey's home team rate was 0.603, while Toluca's away team rate was 0.585. The pre-game win probabilities were 46.3% for Monterrey, 28.9% for Toluca, and 24.8% for a draw.
Monterrey has been in good form recently, winning 4 of their last 5 games, including a 2-0 victory against Pumas UNAM in their previous match. Toluca, on the other hand, has been inconsistent, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 games. Their most recent match before this was a 2-2 draw against Cruz Azul. Looking back at the last head-to-head games, Monterrey and Toluca have had some close encounters. Their most recent match ended in a 1-1 draw.
The upcoming second leg, to be played on May 10, 2025, at Estadio Nemesio Díez Riega in Toluca, will be crucial. Toluca will need to capitalize on their home advantage, while Monterrey will aim to defend their lead and secure a spot in the next round of the Mexican Liga BBVA MX Clausura 2025 playoffs. Both teams will need to improve their discipline to avoid unnecessary fouls and yellow cards. Monterrey's stronger recent form and higher team rate (0.609 compared to Toluca's 0.586 for the next game) might give them a slight edge in the second leg.

On May 7, 2025, Monterrey will face Toluca at Estadio BBVA in a highly anticipated Mexican Liga BBVA MX clash. An AI prediction model forecasts a Monterrey victory, assigning them a 46.3% win probability compared to Toluca's 28.9%. The AI gives Monterrey a team rate of 0.603, slightly higher than Toluca's 0.585. Monterrey's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mixed bag of wins and losses, including a recent 2-0 victory against Pumas UNAM. Toluca, however, boasts a stronger recent record, including a 3-2 victory over Atlas. Monterrey will be counting on their star forward, German Berterame, to lead the attack and capitalize on the home advantage, while Toluca hopes that Marcel Ruiz can dictate the tempo. However, head-to-head results have been close recently, and a draw remains a distinct possibility, estimated at 24.8%.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game