Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League
[legacy approach]

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In the second leg of the Copa do Brasil Third Round, São Paulo secured a 2-1 victory over Náutico at the Estádio dos Aflitos, Recife, advancing with a 4-2 aggregate score. Luciano opened the scoring early for São Paulo in the 4th minute, while Rodriguinho added another in the 75th minute. Hélio scored a late consolation goal for Náutico in the 83rd minute. The match saw both teams reduced to 10 men, with Marco Antônio receiving a red card for Náutico in the 11th minute and Nahuel Ferraresi being sent off for São Paulo in the 22nd minute.
Náutico, playing in a 4-4-1-1 formation, had more possession (57.8%) but couldn't capitalize effectively. They registered 16 total shots with 5 on target, while São Paulo, in a 4-2-3-1 setup, had 14 shots with 6 on target. Both goalkeepers made 4 saves each. Náutico committed 15 fouls and received 2 yellow cards, while São Paulo committed 16 fouls and also received 2 yellow cards.
The AI had predicted a São Paulo win, and this prediction proved accurate. The AI did not expect a balanced game. Given São Paulo's recent form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 games across all competitions, and Náutico's struggle in the Copa do Brasil, the prediction aligned with the team's performance.
Looking back, São Paulo won against Náutico in the first leg of the Third Round of Copa do Brasil (2-1). Also, São Paulo had defeated Náutico in their last matches in Brazilian Serie A in 2013 (3-0 and 1-0).
São Paulo's next match is against Mirassol in the Brazilian Serie A at MorumBIS. São Paulo's recent form in the league has been good, with a recent win against Grêmio (2-1), but Mirassol also is showing some form, with 1 win and 4 draws in their last 5 games. São Paulo, with a team rate of 0.638 is expected to play as favorite against Mirassol, who has a team rate of 0.439.

On May 20, 2025, Nu00e1utico will face Su00e3o Paulo at Estu00e1dio dos Aflitos in Recife for a crucial Copa do Brasil match. According to AI predictions, Su00e3o Paulo is favored to win, with a 41.5% win probability compared to Nu00e1utico's 30.4%. The AI gives Nu00e1utico a rate of 0.42 and Su00e3o Paulo a rate of 0.637. Su00e3o Paulo's recent form has been mixed, with a win against Gru00eamio but a loss to Palmeiras, while Nu00e1utico's last games show two wins and two defeats. Su00e3o Paulo's attack, led by the skillful winger Lucas Moura, will pose a significant threat. The midfield, anchored by veteran Casemiro, will look to control the tempo of the game. The AI suggests a 28.1% chance of a draw, indicating a potentially tight contest. Nu00e1utico will need a strong defensive performance to overcome the odds and beat Su00e3o Paulo's prediction.