Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In a shocking turn of events in the Peruvian Liga 1, Deportivo Garcilaso defeated Alianza Lima 4-3 at the Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. The game, held on 2025-09-13, saw an unexpected result, defying pre-game predictions that heavily favored Alianza Lima with a 62.5% win probability. Alianza Lima dominated possession with 75.9%, but Garcilaso's clinical finishing proved decisive, converting 5 of their 8 shots into goals.
The first half was a goal fest. Barcos opened the scoring for Alianza Lima with a penalty in the 8th minute, but Garcilaso responded fiercely with goals from Lojas (21'), Erustes (32'), Sandoval (39' Pen), and Naya (42'). Gaibor scored for Alianza Lima in the 44th minute, making it 2-4 at halftime. Pena scored for Alianza Lima in the 74th minute, but it was not enough.
Statistically, Alianza Lima had more shots (17 vs 8) but Garcilaso was more efficient in attack. Both teams committed a similar number of fouls and received two yellow cards each. The game saw both teams deploying a 4-2-3-1 formation.
This loss marks a significant upset for Alianza Lima, especially considering their recent form. Before this match, they had a strong winning streak, including victories in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana. Alianza Lima's defense, which had been relatively solid in previous games, showed vulnerabilities against Garcilaso's attack. Their upcoming match against Comerciantes Unidos, a team they have historically dominated, will be crucial to regain confidence.
Deportivo Garcilaso, on the other hand, has shown resilience in recent matches, with several draws and a recent win against Sport Boys. This victory against Alianza Lima will undoubtedly boost their morale as they prepare to face UTC in their next game. UTC has struggled recently, losing three of their last five matches.
Considering previous head-to-head games, Alianza Lima has had the upper hand against both Comerciantes Unidos and Deportivo Garcilaso. However, football is unpredictable, and Garcilaso's win proves that any team can win on its day. The AI prediction failed to account for Garcilaso's finishing efficiency and Alianza Lima's defensive lapses. This result indicates the need for re-evaluation of the AI's model, taking into account factors such as individual player form and tactical flexibility. The result can be considered a balanced game despite the AI model stating otherwise.

On September 13, 2025, Alianza Lima will face Deportivo Garcilaso at the Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. AI predicts an Alianza Lima victory. The home team has a 62.5% win probability, compared to Garcilaso's 13.7%. A draw is estimated at 23.8%. Alianza Lima, with a rate of 0.671, is considered the stronger team (Deportivo Garcilaso rate is 0.504).
Alianza Lima's recent form shows strength, with several wins in both Peruvian Liga 1 and CONMEBOL Sudamericana. Their star striker, Hernan Barcos (even at his veteran age), is always a threat, and young midfielder Jairo Concha's creativity is key.
However, a recent 0-0 draw against Universitario with two red cards suggests potential disciplinary issues. Deportivo Garcilaso's recent games have been less convincing, with several draws. Their defense will need to be at its best to contain Alianza Lima's attack. The match promises excitement, but AI leans heavily towards a home win. History also favors Alianza Lima in past encounters. All eyes will be on Lima for this Liga 1 clash.