Football Result

Agustín Canobbio 55' Pen
Thiago Silva 84'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
28.5%
25.8%
45.7%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
0.523
0.711
Remark: 2nd Leg - Fluminense advanced 2-1 on aggregate
Game Stats
Goals
2
0
Shots on Target
5
1
Shots
10
2
Possession
63.5%
36.5%
Fouls
16
17
Yellow Cards
2
5
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
2
3
Offsides
1
2
Saves
1
3
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1


Location
Estadio do Maracana, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Fluminense
D L L W W
Bahia
W W L W W
2025-09-11 | Game Summary

In the second leg of the Copa do Brasil Quarterfinals, Fluminense defeated Bahia 2-0 at the Estadio do Maracana on 2025-09-10, securing a 2-1 aggregate victory. Agustin Canobbio scored from the penalty spot in the 55th minute, and Thiago Silva added another goal in the 84th minute. Fluminense displayed dominance with 63.5% possession and a higher number of shots, totaling 10 compared to Bahia's 2.
Bahia committed more fouls, racking up 17 against Fluminense's 16, and received 5 yellow cards to Fluminense's 2. The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored Bahia to win, but Fluminense defied the odds with a strong performance at home. Before the game, the AI model expected a balanced game with Bahia having a 45.7% probability of winning, compared to Fluminense's 28.5% and a 25.8% chance of a draw.
The result contrasts sharply with the AI's pre-game analysis, highlighting the unpredictable nature of football. Fluminense's recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five games, considering all leagues. Bahia's form has been better recently, winning most of their games, with one heavy defeat against Mirassol.
Fluminense's victory avenges their 1-0 defeat in the first leg of the tie, and improves their home form. Bahia failed to replicate their home performance. This game follows a pattern where recent head-to-head games have been closely contested, with both teams managing wins.
Fluminense's next game is against Corinthians in the Brazilian Serie A on 2025-09-13. In their last game against Corinthians, Fluminense won 2-0. Bahia will face Cruzeiro in the Brazilian Serie A on 2025-09-15, hoping to bounce back from this defeat. Bahia lost to Cruzeiro in their last match by 3-0.

2025-09-09 | Pre-game insights

On September 10, 2025, Fluminense will face Bahia in a crucial Copa do Brasil match at the Estadio do Maracana. AI is predicting a Bahia victory, with a 45.7% win probability compared to Fluminense's 28.5%. The AI gives only 25.8% for a draw result. Fluminense, with a team rate of 0.523, will need a stellar performance from their striker, veteran Ganso, if they are to defy the odds.
However, Bahia, boasting a stronger team rate of 0.711, enters the game with momentum. Their recent form in Copa do Nordeste has been impressive, fueled by the creative midfielder Cauly Oliveira Souza. Bahia's recent 1-0 victory against Fluminense in the first leg of Copa do Brasil adds another layer of confidence.
Fluminense's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of draws and losses in Serie A, alongside a win in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana. In contrast, Bahia has shown a stronger winning mentality lately. The AI's prediction hinges on Bahia's tactical discipline and ability to exploit Fluminense's defensive vulnerabilities. The match promises to be a tense affair, with Bahia aiming to secure their passage to the next round.