Football Result

Alex Telles 43' Pen
Nuno Moreira 21'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
55.1%
23.9%
21%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
0.576
0.408
Remark: 2nd Leg - Tied on aggregate - VAS advanced 5-3 on penalties
Game Stats
Goals
1
1
Shots on Target
9
5
Shots
22
8
Possession
56.6%
43.4%
Fouls
11
13
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
10
0
Offsides
0
0
Saves
4
7
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1


Location
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Botafogo
W D W L L
Vasco da Gama
W D L L W
2025-09-12 | Game Summary

Botafogo and Vasco da Gama clashed in a fiercely contested Copa do Brasil quarterfinal second leg at EstAdio OlImpico Nilton Santos on 2025-09-11. The match ended in a 1-1 draw, with Vasco da Gama advancing 5-3 on penalties after the aggregate score was tied. Nuno Moreira put Vasco ahead in the 21st minute, while Alex Telles equalized for Botafogo with a penalty in the 43rd minute.
Botafogo dominated possession with 56.6% and unleashed 22 shots, 9 on target, compared to Vasco's 8 total shots and 5 on target. Vasco's goalkeeper made 7 saves, while Botafogo's keeper made 4. Both teams played a 4-2-3-1 formation.
The AI had predicted a Botafogo win with a 55.1% probability, failing to account for Vasco's resilience and penalty shootout prowess. The AI expected balanced game (no). This result continues a trend of closely contested matches between these two sides, as seen in their previous encounters.
Botafogo's recent form has been inconsistent, with wins intermixed with losses in Serie A and Libertadores. Their next match is against Sao Paulo away in Serie A, where they face a team with similar inconsistency. Last head-to-head matches between them finished mostly with draws. Vasco da Gama, on the other hand, had mixed results including a big win against Santos. Vasco's next game is at home against Ceara in Serie A, offering a chance to build on their Copa do Brasil success. Last head-to-head games against Ceara shows Vasco losing a lot.

2025-09-10 | Pre-game insights

On 2025-09-11, Botafogo and Vasco da Gama face off in a crucial Copa do Brasil match at Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos. AI predicts a Botafogo victory, with a 55.1% win probability. Vasco da Gama's chances are lower, at 21.0%. A draw is estimated at 23.9%. Botafogo, led by the impressive striker Luiz Henrique, aims to capitalize on their recent form. Vasco da Gama will rely on their midfielder, experienced in Brasileirao, Paulinho, to create opportunities. Botafogo's recent 4-1 win against Red Bull Bragantino showcases their attacking prowess. Will the AI's prediction hold true in this classic Rio de Janeiro derby?