Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In a surprising result, Cruzeiro defeated Atletico-MG 2-0 in the first leg of their Copa do Brasil quarterfinal match at Arena MRV. The game, held on August 27, 2025, saw goals from Fabricio Bruno in the 50th minute and Kaio Jorge in the 64th minute securing the victory for the visitors. Despite having 60.6% possession, Atletico-MG struggled to convert their dominance into goals, managing only 3 shots on target from 12 total shots. Cruzeiro, with 39.4% possession, were more clinical, scoring twice from 5 shots on target.
The AI had predicted an Atletico-MG win with a 37.1% probability, while Cruzeiro's win probability was estimated at only 34.7%. The model anticipated a balanced game; however, Cruzeiro's performance proved otherwise. Atletico-MG committed fewer fouls (15) compared to Cruzeiro (22), but both teams received 3 yellow cards each.
Looking at recent form, Atletico-MG has been inconsistent, losing two of their last five matches, including a 2-0 defeat to Sao Paulo in the league. They have struggled defensively, conceding multiple goals in some matches. Their upcoming game is against struggling Vitoria in the Brazilian Serie A, a team that has lost three and drawn two of their last five, including a heavy 8-0 defeat.
Cruzeiro, on the other hand, are in better form, winning three of their last five games. Their next match is at home against Sao Paulo, who are also in good form. Cruzeiro's recent Copa do Brasil form has been solid, advancing from the previous round with a 2-0 away win.
Reviewing previous head-to-head matches, games between these two teams have been closely contested. However, Cruzeiro has seemed to have the edge in the latest few matches. The last match between them ended in a 0-0 draw. In relation to the AI prediciton, Cruzeiro proved they are better than what they were rated by AI model.

The AI predicts a win for Atletico-MG in the upcoming Copa do Brasil match against Cruzeiro on 2025-08-27 at Arena MRV. While Cruzeiro's overall team rate is slightly higher (0.667 vs 0.491), the AI gives Atletico-MG a 37.1% chance of winning, compared to Cruzeiro's 34.7%. The draw probability stands at 28.2%.
Atletico-MG's recent form has been inconsistent, with losses to Sao Paulo and Gremio sandwiching wins in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana. The team's key player, Hulk, will need to be at his best to secure victory. His experience in big games could prove crucial.
Cruzeiro, on the other hand, has shown better form lately, with wins against Internacional and Botafogo. Their midfield maestro, Matheus Pereira, will be vital in dictating the tempo of the game. He will try to feed striker Arthur Gomes to get in on the score sheet.
The last head-to-head games have been tightly contested. It will be interesting to see if Atletico-MG can overcome their recent struggles and live up to the AI's prediction.