Football Result
Camilo Cándido 33'
Verification of the Result Prediction
Power Comparison in the League
Game Stats
Team Formations
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
H2H Record before the game
Deportes Tolima
Draws
Atletico Nacional
The Colombian Primera A match between Deportes Tolima and Atletico Nacional on 2025-08-02 ended in a 0-0 draw. The game, held at Manuel Murillo Toro, saw Atletico Nacional reduced to nine men after red cards to Mateus Uribe and Camilo Candido in the 10th and 33rd minutes, respectively.
Despite playing with a significant numerical advantage for most of the match, Deportes Tolima failed to capitalize. Tolima dominated possession with 67.7% and registered a staggering 27 total shots, but only managed 3 shots on target. Atletico Nacional, playing defensively, managed only 4 shots, none of which tested the Tolima goalkeeper. Tolima committed a high number of fouls (20), resulting in 5 yellow cards, while Atletico Nacional received 7 yellow cards in addition to the two reds.
The AI pre-game prediction favored a Deportes Tolima win, despite an expected balanced game, making the actual draw an incorrect prediction. The pre-game win probabilities were 37.2% for Tolima, 36.3% for Atletico Nacional, and 26.5% for a draw. Given Atletico Nacional's strong recent form, the draw is unexpected.
Deportes Tolima's recent form has been inconsistent, with recent losses in Copa Colombia, a win against Deportivo Pereira and losses against Independiente Santa Fe and Deportivo Pasto. Atletico Nacional has also had mixed results in their previous games, including a win in Copa Colombia, a draw against Independiente Santa Fe, a loss against Deportivo Pereira, and wins against La Equidad and Once Caldas.
Considering Tolima's next game is against Millonarios, and their recent struggles to convert chances, they will need to improve their finishing to secure a positive result. Millonarios have struggled recently in the league, and Tolima will try to capitalize on this bad moment. Atletico Nacional faces Cucuta Deportivo in Copa Colombia, and they will need to reorganize the team after two players received a red card.
Analyzing head-to-head records, Atletico Nacional has often dominated Deportes Tolima in recent fixtures. Their recent match in Copa Colombia finished with a 1-0 result in favor of Nacional. Despite Tolima dominating possession in today's game, they couldn't score against Nacional.
In conclusion, Atletico Nacional's defensive resilience and Deportes Tolima's lack of clinical finishing resulted in a goalless draw in this Colombian Primera A fixture. The AI prediction of a Tolima win proved inaccurate.
On 2025-08-02, Deportes Tolima will face Atletico Nacional in a Colombian Primera A match at Manuel Murillo Toro. AI predicts a Deportes Tolima victory, despite close win probabilities (37.2% vs 36.3%). The draw probability stands at 26.5%. Tolima's recent form has been mixed, with two wins and three losses. Atletico Nacional, featuring rising star midfielder Juan Pablo Torres, has shown similar inconsistency. Tolima's key player, veteran striker Brayan Gil Hurtado, will be crucial to their attack. Both teams will be vying for a crucial win in this tightly contested league. The AI model considers all available data to make these predictions.