Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In a stunning match in the Colombian Primera A, Envigado defied expectations and secured a 4-3 victory against Independiente Medellín at the Atanasio Girardot. The AI had predicted a win for Independiente Medellín, making Envigado's triumph a significant upset. The game was filled with drama, including multiple penalties and red cards, heavily influencing the final outcome. Independiente Medellín, despite dominating possession (75.1%) and racking up 25 shots, couldn't convert their dominance into a win. Envigado, efficient with their limited possession (24.9%), capitalized on their opportunities, scoring four goals from just 10 shots.
Daniel Arcila was the hero for Envigado, netting a hat-trick that included two penalties. Independiente Medellín's José Ortiz and Francisco Fydriszewski (with a brace from penalties) provided the home side's goals. Three red cards for Independiente Medellín (Daniel Londoño, Léider Berrío, and Brayan León Muñiz) significantly hampered their chances. Envigado also had Frey Berrio sent off. This disciplinary breakdown severely impacted Medellín’s ability to control the game despite their tactical formation 3-4-3, contrasting with Envigado's 4-2-3-1.
Independiente Medellín's recent form has been inconsistent with two losses and two draws in their last five league games. Envigado, prior to this match, had struggled, with recent draws and losses marking their form, but this win could mark a turnaround. Analyzing previous head-to-head matches, Independiente Medellín has historically held the upper hand, winning most of the recent encounters. However, this victory for Envigado breaks that trend and could provide a much-needed boost to their confidence. Considering Independiente Medellin's recent struggles with discipline and converting chances, they'll need to address these issues before their next fixture. Envigado will look to carry this momentum forward.
The AI model clearly underestimated Envigado's ability to perform under pressure, highlighting a potential area for improvement in pre-game analysis. The predicted win probability of 55.4% for Independiente Medellín and only 20.3% for Envigado proved inaccurate.