Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In a surprising turn of events in the Colombian Primera A, Boyacá Chicó defeated Independiente Medellín 2-0 at La Independencia, Tunja, on July 19, 2025. The goals came in the second half, with Jairo Molina opening the scoring in the 55th minute and Johan Bocanegra sealing the victory in the 68th minute. The match ended on a sour note for Boyacá Chicó as Juan Quiceno received a red card in stoppage time. Despite having less possession (40.7%) compared to Independiente Medellín (59.3%), Boyacá Chicó proved more clinical in front of goal, converting two of their four shots on target. Independiente Medellín, despite registering more shots (13) overall, only managed to get three on target.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored Independiente Medellín with a 44.2% win probability, making Boyacá Chicó's victory an upset. The AI model did not expect a balanced game, likely based on the teams' relative rates (0.352 for Boyacá Chicó and 0.577 for Independiente Medellín). This result deviates significantly from the AI's pre-match assessment.
Boyacá Chicó's recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five games across all competitions, including a recent 1-1 draw against Bucaramanga in the league and wins in Copa Colombia. Independiente Medellín has struggled recently, drawing three, losing one, and winning one of their last five games, including a 1-1 draw against Alianza FC in their previous league match.
Looking at the head-to-head record, Independiente Medellín had dominated recent encounters, winning the previous four matches. However, Boyacá Chicó’s last victory against them was a 3-0 win at home in February 2024, showing they are capable of defeating Medellín on their own ground. Boyacá Chicó's tactical setup of 5-3-2 seemed to frustrate Medellín's 3-4-1-2 formation. The game highlights Boyacá Chicó's ability to capitalize on opportunities despite having less possession, a strategy that proved effective against a favored Independiente Medellín side that failed to convert their possession into goals. This win could provide a significant boost to Boyacá Chicó's confidence as they move forward in the Clausura tournament.