Football Result
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan 38'
Verification of the Result Prediction
Power Comparison in the League
Game Stats
Team Formations
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
H2H Record before the game
Portsmouth
Draws
Reading
The English Carabao Cup first round match on 2025-08-12 saw Reading upset Portsmouth at Fratton Park, winning 2-1. The AI pre-game prediction favored Portsmouth with a 54.8% win probability, making Reading's victory a surprise. Andre Garcia and Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan scored in the first half for Reading, while Olutayo Singerr scored a late consolation goal for Portsmouth. Despite having 62.6% possession, Portsmouth failed to convert their dominance into goals, only managing 3 shots on target from 11 total shots. Reading, with a 4-3-3 formation, were more clinical, scoring twice from 6 shots on target and a total of 11 shots. Both teams received two yellow cards each, and Reading committed slightly more fouls (15) compared to Portsmouth (11). Portsmouth's recent form shows a mix of results in the Championship, including a recent 1-0 win against Oxford United. Reading, on the other hand, is struggling in League One, having lost their last two league matches prior to this Carabao Cup game. Reading's next game is away against Bolton Wanderers in League One, where they will aim to improve their form. Portsmouth will face Norwich City at home in the Championship, a team they defeated 5-3 in their previous encounter in April. Historically, head-to-head matches between Portsmouth and Norwich have been closely contested, indicating a potentially challenging game for Portsmouth. Reading's victory against Portsmouth is their first win in their last six games across all competitions, potentially boosting their confidence. Analyzing Reading's previous games against Bolton shows a mixed bag of results, with Bolton having won most recent games by large scores. Portsmouth's previous Carabao Cup game against Reading resulted in a similar 1-2 loss in 2015, showing an unfavorable trend in this competition against Reading. This English Carabao Cup result signifies a significant morale boost for Reading, as they seek to improve their League One standing. The outcome also highlights potential weaknesses in Portsmouth's defense that Norwich City will be looking to exploit in their upcoming match. Portsmouth will need to address their conversion rate of shots to goals if they hope to win against Norwich in front of their fans. Reading's tactical approach and efficient use of counter-attacks proved effective in overcoming Portsmouth's possession-based game. Portsmouth's manager will need to review their strategy and make adjustments to prevent similar upsets in future matches. The game underscored the unpredictable nature of cup competitions, where underdogs like Reading can often cause major surprises. Despite Portsmouth's higher team rate, Reading secured victory through better finishing and defensive organization. The result demonstrates that while Portsmouth maintained better possession of the ball, Reading was able to be more effective on the counter-attack. This victory could be the turning point for Reading, giving them much-needed confidence as they navigate the League One season.
On 2025-08-12, Fratton Park will host the English Carabao Cup match between Portsmouth and Reading. AI predicts a Portsmouth win with a 54.8% probability. Reading's chances are slim, only at 20.9%. A draw is slightly more likely at 24.3%. Portsmouth, boasting a strong midfielder in veteran playmaker Marlon Pack, enter as favorites. Pack's experience will be key to unlocking Reading's defense. Portsmouth's recent form shows promise, while Reading has struggled lately. Can Portsmouth live up to the AI's prediction?