Football Result

Federico Pereira 31'
Jesús Gallardo 80'
Oswaldo Virgen 89'
Fernando Monarrez 86' Pen


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
67.1%
19.1%
13.8%
We made the right call.
Power Comparison in the League
0.689
0.168
Game Stats
Goals
3
1
Shots on Target
5
2
Shots
27
8
Possession
62.2%
37.8%
Fouls
13
14
Yellow Cards
0
1
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
6
5
Offsides
1
0
Saves
2
2
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
5-4-1


Location
Estadio Nemesio Diez Riega, Toluca, Mexico
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Toluca
W L D W W
Puebla
L D D L L
2025-09-14 | Game Summary

Toluca dominated Puebla in their Mexican Liga BBVA MX match on 2025-09-13, securing a 3-1 victory at Estadio Nemesio Diez Riega. Federico Pereira opened the scoring for Toluca in the 31st minute. Jesus Gallardo added a second in the 80th minute, followed by Oswaldo Virgen in the 89th. Fernando Monarrez scored a penalty for Puebla in the 86th minute.
Toluca's overwhelming possession (62.2%) and high shot volume (27 total shots) showcased their attacking intent. Puebla struggled to create opportunities, managing only 8 shots. Toluca's formation of 4-2-3-1 proved effective against Puebla's more defensive 5-4-1. The AI prediction of a Toluca win proved accurate, reflecting their superior team rate.
Toluca's recent form has been strong, with multiple wins in their previous matches, while Puebla has struggled. Toluca's next game is away against Guadalajara, who have been inconsistent recently, suggesting Toluca might continue their winning streak. Puebla faces Necaxa away, a team also struggling for form, potentially offering Puebla a chance to bounce back.
Analyzing past encounters, Toluca has often had the upper hand against Puebla. Specifically, the last head-to-head game saw Toluca winning 3-0. Toluca's previous games indicates strong attacking and winning mentality. Puebla will have to seriously improve their defensive performance in the next game against Necaxa. Considering Guadalajara's recent struggles and Toluca's recent form, Toluca looks to be the favorite in their next encounter.

2025-09-12 | Pre-game insights

On September 13, 2025, Toluca will face Puebla at Estadio Nemesio Diez Riega in a Mexican Liga BBVA MX clash. AI predicts a Toluca victory with a 67.1% probability, significantly higher than Puebla's 13.8%. The draw probability stands at 19.1%. Toluca enters the match with a rating of 0.689, contrasting sharply with Puebla's 0.168.
Toluca's recent form shows promise, with wins against Atletico de San Luis, FC Juarez and New York City FC. Their key player, midfielder Marcel Ruiz, will be crucial in controlling the game's tempo. Meanwhile, Puebla has struggled, enduring losses against Monterrey and Tigres UANL.
Historically, Toluca has dominated Puebla in recent encounters. The AI's prediction aligns with Toluca's strong home advantage and Puebla's current difficulties. Fans anticipate an exciting match. Will the AI be correct? Only time will tell.