Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In a Colombian Primera A match held on June 5, 2025, Independiente Santa Fe defeated Once Caldas 2-1 at Palogrande in Manizales. Once Caldas, playing a 4-2-3-1 formation, dominated possession with 56.2% and registered 19 total shots, 8 of which were on target. Independiente Santa Fe, in a 4-3-3 formation, was more clinical, converting 2 of their 3 shots on target. Hugo Rodallega opened the scoring for Santa Fe in the 58th minute, followed by Victor Moreno in the 65th minute. Juan Castano scored a late goal for Once Caldas in the 80th minute, but it wasn't enough to change the result.
The AI pre-game prediction favored Once Caldas to win; however, Independiente Santa Fe defied those odds. Once Caldas had a higher team rate (0.465) then Independiente Santa Fe (0.525), with a predicted win probability of 44.9% compared to Santa Fe's 27.2%. This victory for Santa Fe indicates a potential underestimation of their current form and tactical effectiveness.
Considering recent form, Once Caldas has been inconsistent, alternating between draws, losses, and wins. Their upcoming match against Millonarios will be a tough challenge, especially given Millonarios recent winning streak in the league. Independiente Santa Fe, despite a recent loss to Millonarios, demonstrated resilience in this match. Santa Fe's next game is against Atlético Nacional, who also have been struggling to find consistency, which is why this match looks like a balanced one.
Looking at past encounters, Independiente Santa Fe has had a slight edge over Once Caldas. This victory is crucial for Santa Fe to maintain momentum, while Once Caldas needs to address their conversion rate and defensive vulnerabilities before facing Millonarios. Santa Fe's win breaks a recent pattern of losses, suggesting they might be turning a corner, while Once Caldas's inconsistency persists.