Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In a surprising turn of events at Alberto José Armando (La Bombonera), Independiente defeated Boca Juniors 1-0 in their Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Apertura Quarterfinals match on May 19, 2025. The only goal of the match was scored by Álvaro Angulo in the 64th minute. The game was closely contested, with Independiente holding a slight edge in possession (54%) compared to Boca Juniors (46%). However, Independiente also had more shots on target, which amounted to a total of five compared to Boca Juniors' one. Boca Juniors registered eight total shots, while Independiente had 13.
The match was also characterized by a high number of fouls, with Boca Juniors committing 14 fouls and receiving three yellow cards, while Independiente committed 11 fouls and received four yellow cards. The pre-game AI prediction favored a Boca Juniors win, which turned out to be incorrect. Before the game, AI prediction stated that Boca Juniors had a 47.5% chance of winning and Independiente had a 25.8% chance of winning. The AI model did not expect a balanced game.
Looking at Boca Juniors' recent form, they have been struggling to secure victories, drawing their previous two matches against Lanús (0-0) and Tigre (1-1), losing to River Plate (2-1), and winning against Estudiantes de La Plata (2-0) and Belgrano (Córdoba) (1-3). Meanwhile, Independiente has been in better form, winning three of their last five matches, including a recent CONMEBOL Sudamericana win against Guarani (1-0) and Independiente Rivadavia (1-0). Their recent victories show that they have been performing well as of late.
In the previous head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors and Independiente played out a 0-0 draw in December 2024. Before that, Boca Juniors won 2-0 in July 2023. This recent victory for Independiente breaks a pattern of draws and Boca Juniors dominance. The result highlights Independiente's improving form and ability to compete against traditionally stronger teams like Boca Juniors.

On May 19, 2025, Boca Juniors will face Independiente at the Alberto José Armando (La Bombonera) in a highly anticipated Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol match. AI is predicting a victory for the home side, Boca Juniors, with a 47.5% win probability, despite their recent form showing inconsistency. Independiente, with a 25.8% chance of winning according to the algorithm, will be looking to upset the odds. A draw is calculated to have a 26.6% probability. Boca's hopes will likely rest on the shoulders of their star midfielder, Ezequiel Fernández, known for his playmaking abilities. The attacking threat of Luca Langoni will also be crucial for Boca Juniors to secure the predicted win. However, Independiente's recent performances in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana suggest they won't be an easy opponent, as shown by their recent victory over Guarani. Could Independiente star, Tomás Rambert, pull off the unexpected and lead his team to victory? Only time will tell if the AI's prediction holds true.