Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In a thrilling second-leg quarterfinal match of the Mexican Liga BBVA MX Clausura 2025, Tigres UANL and Necaxa battled to a 2-2 draw at Estadio Universitario. Tigres UANL advanced due to being the higher seed, as the aggregate score was tied. The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored a Tigres UANL win with a 54.1% probability, but the match ended in a draw, defying the prediction. The game was closely contested, with Tigres UANL holding slightly more possession (52.9%) and registering more shots (21) compared to Necaxa's 18. However, both teams managed 7 shots on target each.
Juan Brunetta opened the scoring for Tigres UANL in the 51st minute, but Agustin Palavecino equalized for Necaxa in the 63rd minute. Tomas Badaloni then put Necaxa ahead in the 86th minute, seemingly securing their progression. However, a dramatic own goal by Alejandro Mayorga in the 97th minute leveled the score, sending Tigres UANL through. Both teams committed a similar number of fouls, and each received one yellow card.
Considering recent form, Tigres UANL has been somewhat inconsistent, with a mix of wins, losses, and draws in their previous five matches, including a loss and a draw in the Concacaf Champions Cup. Necaxa's form has also been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five games. The previous head-to-head game just days before this match ended in a 0-0 draw, suggesting a tight contest was expected. Prior to that, Tigres had the upper hand in head-to-head matches.
The game's balanced nature is reflected in the team rates, with Tigres UANL at 0.597 and Necaxa at 0.457. Despite the AI model not expecting a balanced game, the draw indicates that Necaxa put up a strong fight. The result underscores the unpredictable nature of football, especially in high-stakes playoff matches where pressure and individual errors can significantly influence the outcome.

On May 11, 2025, Tigres UANL will face Necaxa at Estadio Universitario in a Mexican Liga BBVA MX clash. AI is predicting a Tigres UANL victory with a 54.1% probability, contrasting Necaxa's 22.1%. A draw is estimated at 23.9%. Tigres' recent form has been inconsistent, with draws and a loss in the Concacaf Champions Cup interspersed between league games. The home side will be looking to André-Pierre Gignac to lead the attack and capitalize on their home advantage. Necaxa, on the other hand, will be hoping to defy the odds. However, Tigres' slightly superior team rating suggests they have the edge in this encounter.