Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In a thrilling first-leg quarterfinal match of the 2024-25 Liga BBVA MX Clausura, Cruz Azul defeated León 3-2 at Estadio León. The game saw a flurry of goals in the first half, with Ignacio Rivero opening the scoring for Cruz Azul in the 14th minute, followed by two goals from Andres Montaño in the 19th and 41st minutes. León responded with a goal from Sebastian Santos in the 29th minute and Iván Moreno shortly after the break in the 46th minute. The turning point arrived when Adonis Frias of León was sent off with a red card in the 51st minute.
Despite León's comeback attempt, Cruz Azul managed to hold on for the victory. Cruz Azul's slightly higher possession (54.8%) and a greater number of shots (12 vs. 7) ultimately proved decisive. The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored a Cruz Azul win, which aligned with the actual result. The AI model did not expect a balanced game, and the statistics reflect that Cruz Azul was the slightly stronger team, rated 0.66 compared to León's 0.473.
Looking at recent form, Cruz Azul has been relatively strong, winning a Concacaf Champions Cup match against Tigres UANL and securing draws against Toluca and América in the league. However, León has struggled, losing to Monterrey and Cruz Azul in their recent matches, interspersed with a win against Puebla and a draw against Querétaro. The upcoming second leg at Estadio Olímpico Universitario will be crucial. León will need to overcome their recent struggles and exploit any weaknesses in Cruz Azul's defense to have a chance of advancing.
Cruz Azul's recent head-to-head record against León has been favorable. Cruz Azul has won 4 of the last 5 matches. León's recent form, compounded by Frias' suspension, suggests that Cruz Azul has the upper hand going into the second leg. Cruz Azul seems well-positioned to advance, but they cannot afford to be complacent against a León side desperate to turn the tie around.

On May 8, 2025, Leόn will face Cruz Azul at Estadio Leόn in a highly anticipated Mexican Liga BBVA MX match. An AI prediction model favors Cruz Azul to win, assigning them a 40.9% win probability compared to Leόn's 31.9%, while a draw is estimated at 27.2%. Cruz Azul enters the match with a stronger overall rating of 0.66, contrasting with Leόn's 0.473.
Leόn's recent form has been inconsistent, with losses outweighing wins in their last five matches, where they had problems with receiving red cards. In contrast, Cruz Azul has shown resilience, remaining undefeated in their last five games across both Liga BBVA MX and Concacaf Champions Cup, proving their power in winning crucial games.
Cruz Azul's midfield maestro, Alexis Gutiérrez, will be key to dictating the tempo, while Uriel Antuna's pace on the wing could cause problems for Leόn's defense. Leόn will rely on their striker, Federico Viñas, to find the back of the net. Considering the recent head-to-head record and Cruz Azul's current form, the AI's prediction of a Cruz Azul victory seems plausible, but Leόn playing at home could still pose a significant challenge.