Football Result
Verification of the Result Prediction
Power Comparison in the League
Game Stats
Team Formations
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
H2H Record before the game
Novorizontino
Draws
Corinthians
In a tightly contested first leg of the Copa do Brasil Third Round, Corinthians secured a 1-0 victory over Novorizontino at the Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi. Hector Hernández's early goal in the 10th minute proved to be the difference, giving Corinthians a crucial advantage heading into the second leg. Novorizontino, playing at home, dominated possession with 56.3%, but struggled to convert their dominance into goals, managing only 2 shots on target out of 12 total shots. Corinthians, despite having less possession (43.7%), were more efficient, capitalizing on one of their two shots on target. The match saw a total of 22 fouls committed, with both teams equally responsible. Corinthians accumulated three yellow cards compared to Novorizontino's one.
The AI prediction favored a Novorizontino win, with a 42.3% probability, which ultimately proved incorrect. The AI model did not expect a balanced game. Corinthians' victory indicates a possible underestimation of their ability to perform in crucial away matches. This result contrasts with Corinthians' recent form in the Brazilian Serie A, where they have struggled with away losses, including a heavy defeat against Flamengo. However, they have shown resilience in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana. Novorizontino, on the other hand, has been relatively consistent in their Serie B campaign, securing wins and draws in their recent matches.
Analyzing their previous encounters, Corinthians have a slight edge over Novorizontino. Corinthians' recent form has been inconsistent, oscillating between wins in the Sudamericana and losses in the Serie A. Novorizontino's form has been more stable within the Serie B, but this Copa do Brasil match highlighted their struggle against stronger opposition. Considering their recent struggles, Corinthians' upcoming match against Internacional in the Serie A will be a tough test. Internacional is in good form, winning their last two matches. Novorizontino faces an uphill battle in the second leg of the Copa do Brasil. They will need to improve their attacking efficiency to overturn the deficit against Corinthians.
On April 30, 2025, Novorizontino will face Corinthians at the Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi in a Copa do Brasil match. Despite Corinthians having a stronger team rate (0.606) compared to Novorizontino (0.432), an AI predicts a Novorizontino victory with a 42.3% win probability, surpassing Corinthians' 29.4%. The draw probability stands at 28.2%. Novorizontino's recent form in the Brazilian Serie B has been solid, with two wins and three draws in their last five matches, while Corinthians, despite boasting stars like experienced midfielder Paulinho, has struggled recently in the Brasileirão Serie A. Paulinho's playmaking abilities will be crucial if Corinthians hope to defy the AI's prediction. However, Novorizontino will aim to exploit Corinthians' defensive vulnerabilities, exposed in their recent 4-0 defeat against Flamengo. The AI's analysis suggests Novorizontino's home advantage and recent form might just be enough to secure an upset.