Football Result

Bradley Barcola 16', 19'
Achraf Hakimi 43'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
65.4%
20.8%
13.9%
We made the right call.
Power Comparison in the League
[legacy approach]
0.886
0.461
Game Stats
Goals
3
0
Shots on Target
8
1
Shots
20
4
Possession
76.2%
23.8%
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
10
1
Offsides
4
4
Saves
1
5
Team Formations
4-3-3
5-4-1


Location
Stade de France, Saint-Denis, France
Attendance
77,101
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
2025-05-25 | Game Summary

The Coupe de France final on May 24, 2025, saw Paris Saint-Germain convincingly defeat Stade de Reims 3-0 at the Stade de France. Paris Saint-Germain dominated possession with 76.2% and unleashed 20 total shots, 8 of which were on target, compared to Stade de Reims' paltry 4 shots and only 1 on target. Bradley Barcola's quickfire double in the 16th and 19th minutes set the tone early, while Achraf Hakimi added a third goal just before halftime in the 43rd minute, effectively sealing the victory for PSG.
The scoreline accurately reflects the match's flow, with Paris Saint-Germain asserting their dominance from the start. Stade de Reims struggled to create any meaningful chances, their defensive 5-4-1 formation proving insufficient to contain PSG's attacking prowess. The AI's pre-game prediction of a Paris Saint-Germain win was spot-on, as the home team showcased their superior quality, validating the 65.4% win probability assigned by the model. The prediction of a balanced game was incorrect.
Paris Saint-Germain's recent form has been strong, with several wins in Ligue 1 and the Champions League, demonstrating their consistent ability to perform at a high level. This victory continues their impressive run and solidifies their status as a top team. Examining PSG's previous games highlights their attacking strength, as seen in the previous 3-1 victory against Auxerre and the 4-1 victory against Montpellier. Their ability to score multiple goals in recent matches is a testament to their offensive capabilities.
Stade de Reims, on the other hand, have been struggling, with recent losses in Ligue 1 and a draw in their first Promotion/Relegation Playoff match against Metz. Their upcoming game against Metz is crucial as they seek to avoid relegation. Considering Stade de Reims' recent form, which includes multiple losses and draws, their confidence might be low heading into the Promotion/Relegation Playoffs. Their previous games show a struggle to score goals and maintain a solid defense.
In their recent head-to-head matches, Paris Saint-Germain have generally had the upper hand, although Stade de Reims have managed to secure a few draws. The previous encounter this season in Ligue 1 ended in a 1-1 draw. This victory for PSG breaks the pattern of recent draws between the two teams. The game further emphasizes the contrasting trajectories of both teams, with PSG riding high on their success and Stade de Reims battling to stay in the top flight.

2025-05-23 | Pre-game insights

On May 24, 2025, the Stade de France in Saint-Denis will host the Coupe de France final between Paris Saint-Germain and Stade de Reims. An AI model predicts a victory for Paris Saint-Germain with a 65.4% win probability, significantly higher than Stade de Reims' 13.9%. The probability of a draw stands at 20.8%. PSG’s recent form has been strong, with four wins in their last five games, including a Champions League victory against Arsenal. Their only loss was against Strasbourg in Ligue 1.
Stade de Reims, on the other hand, has struggled, with three losses and two draws in their last five matches. Their overall team rate of 0.461 pales in comparison to PSG's 0.886. The AI prediction considers PSG's formidable attack, spearheaded by young prodigy, breakout winger Amadou Diallo, and midfield maestro, veteran Marco Verratti, still pulling the strings with his trademark creativity.
However, recent head-to-head encounters show a surprising number of draws between the two teams. Stade de Reims will undoubtedly aim to disrupt PSG’s rhythm and exploit any defensive vulnerabilities. While the AI leans heavily towards a PSG triumph, the unpredictable nature of football, especially in a final, means Stade de Reims cannot be entirely dismissed. This Coupe de France final promises to be an intriguing clash of statistical probabilities versus the enduring spirit of competition.