Football Result

Jonathan David 4', 24'
Promise Akinpelu 31'
Tajon Buchanan 81'
Illia Zabarnyi 89'
Oleksandr Zinchenko 90'+2' Pen


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
50.5%
26%
23.4%
We made the right call.
Power Comparison in the League
0.727
0.496
Game Stats
Goals
4
2
Shots on Target
6
8
Shots
12
13
Possession
36.6%
63.4%
Fouls
16
11
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
1
7
Offsides
4
4
Saves
6
1
Team Formations
4-4-2
4-1-4-1


Location
BMO Field, Toronto, Canada
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Canada
W L W W W
Ukraine
L W W D D
H2H Record before the game
0
Canada
1
Draws
0
Ukraine
2025-06-08 | Game Summary

In an exciting International Friendly match held on June 7, 2025, Canada defeated Ukraine 4-2 at BMO Field in Toronto. Jonathan David scored twice in the 4th and 24th minutes, while Promise Akinpelu added another in the 31st minute, and Tajon Buchanan sealed the victory in the 81st minute for Canada. Ukraine responded with goals from Illia Zabarnyi in the 89th minute and Oleksandr Zinchenko via a penalty in the 90+2 minute.
Despite having significantly less possession (36.6%) compared to Ukraine (63.4%), Canada capitalized on their chances, converting 6 of their 12 shots on target. Ukraine, with 13 total shots and 8 on target, struggled to convert their dominance into goals. The match also saw a higher number of fouls committed by Canada (16) compared to Ukraine (11), resulting in one yellow card for the home side.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored a Canada win, which aligned with the actual result. The AI model did not anticipate a balanced game, and Canada's higher team rate (0.727) compared to Ukraine's (0.496) further supported this prediction. The predicted win probability for Canada was 50.5%, while Ukraine's was 23.4%, with a 26.0% chance of a draw.
Canada's recent form has been strong, with a mix of wins and a loss in their last five matches, including victories against the United States and Suriname in the Concacaf Nations League. Ukraine's form has been more inconsistent, with recent wins against Belgium and Albania but also losses to Belgium.
Looking ahead, Canada is set to face Honduras in the Concacaf Gold Cup on June 17, 2025. Considering their recent performance and a higher team rate (0.731) compared to Honduras (0.47), Canada will likely be confident. Analysing the last head-to-head games Canada has had a good record against Honduras. This friendly victory against Ukraine will undoubtedly boost their morale as they prepare for the Gold Cup. The game saw the Canadian team playing with a 4-4-2 formation against Ukraine`s 4-1-4-1.

2025-06-06 | Pre-game insights

Football fans are eagerly awaiting the International Friendly match between Canada and Ukraine on June 7, 2025, at BMO Field in Toronto. An AI model has predicted a Canada victory, assigning them a 50.5% win probability compared to Ukraine's 23.4%, with a 26.0% chance of a draw. Canada enters the match with a rate of 0.727, reflecting recent successes in the Concacaf Nations League, including a notable win against the United States.
The Canadian team, boosted by the likes of Alphonso Davies, known for his blistering pace and precise crosses from the left flank, and Jonathan David, a clinical finisher always ready to capitalize on scoring opportunities, will be looking to dominate on home soil. Ukraine, rated at 0.496, will be aiming to upset the prediction, despite a recent mixed bag of results in the UEFA Nations League.
Although past encounters offer limited insight given the time passed, a 2010 friendly between the two nations ended in a 2-2 draw. With both teams eager to fine-tune their strategies for future competitions, this match promises to be a captivating encounter. All eyes will be on whether Canada can live up to the AI's prediction and secure a win in front of their home crowd.