Football Result

Ricardo Mathias 45'
Brian Aguirre 90'+7'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
38.7%
26.6%
34.6%
We were not sure.
Power Comparison in the League
0.479
0.583
Game Stats
Goals
0
2
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots
16
11
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
5
16
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
7
4
Offsides
4
2
Saves
4
3
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-3-2-1


Location
Gran Parque Central, Montevideo, Uruguay
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Nacional
W D L L L
Internacional
L L L W W
2025-05-16 | Game Summary

In a CONMEBOL Libertadores Group Stage match held on May 15, 2025, Internacional defeated Nacional 2-0 at the Gran Parque Central in Montevideo, Uruguay. The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored a Nacional win, with a 38.7% probability compared to Internacional's 34.6%, and anticipated a balanced game. However, Internacional defied the odds. The match saw Ricardo Mathias score in the 45th minute and Brian Aguirre seal the victory with a goal in the 90+7th minute.
While Nacional held a slight edge in possession with 51%, Internacional proved more clinical, converting their chances with 6 shots on target compared to Nacional's 3. Internacional also committed more fouls (16) than Nacional (5), suggesting a more aggressive approach. Nacional's formation was 4-2-3-1, and Internacional played with a 4-3-2-1 formation.
Nacional's recent form has been inconsistent with 2 losses, 1 win and 2 draw in their last 5 games. Prior to this match, they had a mixed bag of results in the Libertadores, including a 3-1 victory against Bahia, but suffered a heavy 3-0 defeat against Atletico Nacional. Internacional, similarly, had been struggling recently, losing 3 of their last 5 games. This victory could serve as a morale booster for Internacional.
Looking ahead, Nacional will face Atletico Nacional in their next Libertadores match on May 28th at home. Given Atletico Nacional's recent form, including a 3-1 win against Internacional earlier this month and Nacional’s recent loss in the Colombian team’s home, Nacional will need to improve significantly. Internacional's next match is against Sport in the Brazilian Serie A on May 25th.
Considering their recent struggles, Internacional will aim to capitalize on this win against a struggling Sport side that has lost their last 5 matches. The AI prediction missed the mark, showcasing the unpredictable nature of football, especially in a high-stakes competition like the CONMEBOL Libertadores. The game continues the recent trend between these sides where the away team has the upper hand, as seen in their head-to-head record.

2025-05-14 | Pre-game insights

On May 15, 2025, Nacional will face Internacional at Gran Parque Central in a CONMEBOL Libertadores clash. AI predicts a Nacional victory, despite Internacional having a slightly higher team rating. The home team has a 38.7% chance of winning, while Internacional's chances stand at 34.6%, with a 26.6% chance of a draw. Nacional's key player, veteran midfielder Diego Zabala, will be crucial to their chances of securing the win, while Internacional will rely on their young star, Lucca, to lead their attack. Nacional's recent form has been mixed, but their strong performance against Bahia suggests they have the potential to upset Internacional. Despite Internacional's recent struggles in the Brazilian Serie A, they will be looking to bounce back in this important continental fixture. The AI prediction suggests a tight contest, but ultimately favors the home side.