Football Result

Sebastián Driussi 8'
Luis Zárate 25' OG
Franco Mastantuono 45'+5' Pen
Maximiliano Meza 51'
Miguel Borja 88'
Manuel Lanzini 90'+4'
Michael Hoyos 11'
Claudio Spinelli 21'
Mateo Carabajal 45'+4'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
58.6%
23.1%
18.4%
We made the right call.
Power Comparison in the League
[legacy approach]
0.585
0.47
Game Stats
Goals
6
2
Shots on Target
7
2
Shots
21
8
Possession
64.7%
35.3%
Fouls
15
10
Yellow Cards
0
2
Red Cards
0
1
Corners
8
3
Offsides
2
1
Saves
0
2
Team Formations
4-3-3
4-1-3-2


Location
Mas Monumental, Buenos Aires, Argentina
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
2025-05-16 | Game Summary

River Plate delivered a resounding 6-2 victory over Independiente del Valle in their CONMEBOL Libertadores group stage match at the Mâs Monumental. The AI's pre-game prediction of a River Plate win proved accurate, with a predicted win probability of 58.6%. River Plate dominated the game with 64.7% possession and 21 total shots, converting seven of them into goals. Independiente del Valle, despite scoring twice in the first 21 minutes through Michael Hoyos and Claudio Spinelli, struggled to maintain their momentum.
Sebastián Driussi opened the scoring for River Plate in the 8th minute, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair. An own goal by Luis Zárate and a penalty converted by Franco Mastantuono helped River Plate establish a strong lead by halftime. Mateo Carabajal's red card in the 45+4 minute further hampered Independiente del Valle's chances. In the second half, Maximiliano Meza, Miguel Borja, and Manuel Lanzini added to River Plate's tally, sealing a comprehensive victory.
Independiente del Valle only managed 8 shots in total with 2 on target. Their discipline also faltered, leading to two yellow cards and a crucial red card before halftime. River Plate's recent form has been impressive, as they have won every match in their last 5 games, except for the away game to Independiente del Valle, which ended in a draw. Their attacking prowess has been particularly noteworthy, as they have scored multiple goals in each of those games. Independiente del Valle, in contrast, have struggled for consistency, drawing two of their last five matches and losing the other two.
River Plate's next match is against Platense in the Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, where they will be looking to continue their winning streak. River Plate has shown strong form in previous matches at home, with a string of high-scoring victories, which contrasts sharply with Platense, who have had mixed results, winning some matches and losing others. Independiente del Valle faces Barcelona SC in their next CONMEBOL Libertadores match, a game where they need to improve their defensive stability if they hope to advance to the next round. Looking back to the reverse fixture where Barcelona SC defeated them, they have a point to prove.
In their previous head-to-head encounter in this year's edition of the Libertadores Cup, River Plate and Independiente del Valle drew 2-2. This time, however, River Plate demonstrated their dominance, capitalizing on their home advantage and Independiente del Valle's defensive frailties, particularly after the red card.

2025-05-14 | Pre-game insights

The AI predicts a victory for River Plate against Independiente del Valle in their upcoming CONMEBOL Libertadores clash on May 15, 2025, at Mâs Monumental. The algorithm gives River Plate a 58.6% win probability, significantly higher than Independiente del Valle's 18.4%. River Plate, boasting a strong recent form led by star striker Pablo Solari, who has been instrumental in their recent victories. In addition, the AI suggests that River Plate has a 58.5 rate, compared to Independiente del Valle, whose rate is 0.47. The team has been scoring lots of goals, as they did on May 12th when they beated Barracas Central 3-0. Their midfielder, Claudio Echeverri, is also expected to play a key role in dictating the tempo.