Football Result

Lucca Marques 90'
Gustavo Aguilar 74'
Alisson 16'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
54%
25.4%
20.6%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
0.523
0.474
Game Stats
Goals
1
1
Shots on Target
3
1
Shots
14
7
Possession
54.2%
45.8%
Fouls
9
9
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
1
0
Corners
6
4
Offsides
0
1
Saves
0
2
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-1-4-1


Location
MorumBIS, Sao Paulo, Brazil
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Sao Paulo
L W D W D
Libertad
D L W W D
2025-05-15 | Game Summary

In a dramatic CONMEBOL Libertadores Group Stage match at MorumBIS, São Paulo and Libertad battled to a 1-1 draw. The AI prediction favored a São Paulo win, with a 54% probability, but the game unfolded differently. São Paulo dominated possession with 54.2%, and had more shots (14 total, 3 on target) compared to Libertad's 7 (1 on target), but struggled to convert their chances. The game took a turn early on when Alisson received a red card in the 16th minute, putting São Paulo at a disadvantage. Despite being a man down, they held on until Gustavo Aguilar scored for Libertad in the 74th minute. Lucca Marques equalized for São Paulo in the 90th minute.
This draw marks another instance of São Paulo failing to secure a win at home recently, following a goalless draw against Fortaleza. Their form has been inconsistent, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five games. Libertad, similarly, has been struggling for wins, with two draws and two losses in their last five, including a defeat to São Paulo just weeks prior in the same competition.
São Paulo's next match is a Brazilian Serie A clash against Grêmio, a team that has drawn their last three matches. Grêmio has also had the upper hand in recent head-to-head matches. Libertad will face Alianza Lima in their next Libertadores match, a team they defeated earlier in the group stage but who also managed to win a game against them in the past. Considering the recent form of both teams, the upcoming games will be crucial in shaping their respective campaigns. São Paulo will need to improve their finishing and defensive organization and Libertad will need to find a way to score goals to gain an advantage over their opponents.