Football Result

Giorgian de Arrascaeta 53'
Tiago Volpi 85' Pen


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
63.8%
20.1%
16.1%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
0.843
0.368
Game Stats
Goals
1
1
Shots on Target
6
1
Shots
21
6
Possession
67%
33%
Fouls
18
11
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
13
0
Offsides
1
1
Saves
0
4
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-1-2-1-2


Location
Estadio do Maracana, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Flamengo
W W W W W
Gremio
D W L L W
2025-09-01 | Game Summary

The Brazilian Serie A match between Flamengo and Gremio at the Estadio do Maracana ended in a 1-1 draw. Flamengo, playing in a 4-2-3-1 formation, dominated possession with 67% and registered 21 total shots compared to Gremio's 6. However, Gremio's goalkeeper made 4 saves, limiting Flamengo to just one goal. Giorgian de Arrascaeta scored for Flamengo in the 53rd minute. Tiago Volpi equalized for Gremio in the 85th minute with a penalty.
Flamengo committed 18 fouls, resulting in one yellow card, while Gremio committed 11 fouls and received two yellow cards. The AI pre-game prediction favored a Flamengo win, which did not materialize, indicating a case where the model's prediction was incorrect. The AI did not expect a balanced game, possibly due to the difference in team rates (0.843 for Flamengo and 0.368 for Gremio). The predicted win probability for Flamengo was 63.8%, while Gremio had only 16.1%, and a draw had 20.1% pre-match probability.
Flamengo's recent form has been strong, with several wins in both the Brazilian Serie A and CONMEBOL Libertadores. Their next game is away against Juventude, who have had a mixed run of results, demonstrating inconsistency. In contrast, Gremio's recent form is less convincing, with a mix of wins, losses, and a draw, impacting their team performance. Gremio's next match is at home against Mirassol.
Historically, Flamengo has had the upper hand in head-to-head matches against Gremio. However, this game disrupted that trend, showcasing Gremio's resilience, especially considering their lower team rate. Flamengo's dominant possession and shot count didn't translate into victory, highlighting Gremio's effective defensive strategy and luck. This result may affect Flamengo's confidence heading into their next match against Juventude, while Gremio will be looking to build on this draw. The match served as a reminder that even with superior statistics, a draw is always possible in football.

2025-08-30 | Pre-game insights

On August 31st, 2025, all eyes will be on the Estadio do Maracana in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Flamengo is set to clash with Gremio in a Brazilian Serie A match. An AI prediction has already stirred up excitement, forecasting a Flamengo victory with a 63.8% probability, dwarfing Gremio's 16.1% chance. A draw stands at 20.1%.
Flamengo, boasting a team rate of 0.843, enters the game on a high, fresh off a series of dominant wins. Their star striker, Gabriel Barbosa, known as Gabigol, has been in sensational form, netting crucial goals in recent matches. Alongside him, young Vinicius Junior's dazzling dribbling skills and precise passes have been instrumental in Flamengo's attacking prowess.
Gremio, with a team rate of 0.368, faces an uphill battle. Their recent form has been inconsistent. They will rely heavily on their experienced midfielder, Douglas Costa, to orchestrate attacks and create opportunities. The last head-to-head game also favored Flamengo. Will AI be right? Or will Gremio surprise everyone?