Football Result
Nuno Moreira 40'
Pablo Vegetti 69'
Verification of the Result Prediction
Power Comparison in the League
Game Stats
Team Formations
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
H2H Record before the game
Sao Paulo
Draws
Vasco da Gama
In a surprising turn of events in the Brazilian Serie A, Vasco da Gama defeated São Paulo 3-1 at the MorumBIS on June 12, 2025. The AI had predicted a São Paulo win, but Vasco da Gama defied the odds with a strong performance. Vasco's goals came from Rayan Rocha in the 26th minute, Nuno Moreira in the 40th minute, and Pablo Vegetti in the 69th minute. São Paulo managed a late consolation goal by Ryan Francisco in added time.
The match saw a near-even split in possession, with São Paulo holding a slight edge at 50.7% compared to Vasco's 49.3%. However, Vasco da Gama proved more clinical, converting their chances with 9 shots on target out of 14 total shots, while São Paulo only managed 3 on target from their 11 attempts. Both teams committed a similar number of fouls, with São Paulo committing 18 and Vasco da Gama 17. São Paulo accumulated more yellow cards, receiving 4 compared to Vasco's 2. The formations were mirrored with both teams employing a 4-2-3-1 setup.
This victory is a significant boost for Vasco da Gama, who have been inconsistent recently, alternating wins and losses. Their previous game saw them lose to Red Bull Bragantino. Conversely, São Paulo has been struggling with inconsistency, losing two of their last three Serie A matches, including a recent defeat to Bahia. Looking at head-to-head stats, São Paulo won the last direct match, played in October 2024.
Considering their recent form, Vasco da Gama's win could be a turning point, while São Paulo needs to address their defensive vulnerabilities. The AI's prediction of a São Paulo victory, with a 50.7% probability, proved inaccurate. The analysis pre-game did not predict a balanced game.
The result underscores the unpredictable nature of football, especially in a competitive league like the Brazilian Serie A. This win will surely boost Vasco's confidence for their upcoming matches, while São Paulo will need to regroup and address their recent struggles to maintain their position in the league.
On June 12, 2025, Su00e3o Paulo and Vasco da Gama will clash at MorumBIS in a Brazilian Serie A match. AI is predicting a victory for the home side, Su00e3o Paulo, with a 50.7% win probability compared to Vasco da Gama's 24.3%. Despite recent inconsistent form, including a loss to Bahia, Su00e3o Paulo has shown flashes of brilliance, especially with young striker Juan, who is being scouted by European clubs. Vasco da Gama, also struggling for consistency after losing to Red Bull Bragantino, will rely on their experienced midfielder, Paulinho, to control the game's tempo. The AI gives a 25.0% probability of a draw. Historically, recent matches between these teams have been high-scoring affairs, suggesting an exciting encounter. Su00e3o Paulo's slightly stronger team rate of 0.634 versus Vasco da Gama's 0.604 tips the balance in their favor, according to the AI's complex algorithm. This game is crucial for both teams to climb the Serie A standings. Will the AI's prediction come true?