Football Result

Gabriel 53'
Reinaldo 89' Pen


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
55.9%
24.6%
19.5%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
0.638
0.439
Game Stats
Goals
0
2
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots
13
7
Possession
50.8%
49.2%
Fouls
19
11
Yellow Cards
4
1
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
5
4
Offsides
0
1
Saves
1
3
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1


Location
MorumBIS, Sao Paulo, Brazil
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Sao Paulo
W W D L W
Mirassol
D W L D D
2025-05-25 | Game Summary

In a surprising upset in the Brazilian Serie A, Mirassol defeated São Paulo 2-0 at the MorumBIS on May 24, 2025. The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored São Paulo with a 55.9% win probability, making Mirassol's victory an unexpected outcome. The game's statistics show a fairly balanced affair, with São Paulo holding a slight edge in possession (50.8%) and shots (13 total, 3 on target) compared to Mirassol's 49.2% possession and 7 shots (3 on target). Despite São Paulo's higher number of shots, they failed to convert any into goals. Gabriel opened the scoring for Mirassol in the 53rd minute, followed by Reinaldo's penalty in the 89th minute to seal the win.
São Paulo committed a significantly higher number of fouls (19) and received more yellow cards (4) than Mirassol (11 fouls, 1 yellow card). The match was played with both teams employing a 4-2-3-1 formation.
This loss breaks São Paulo's recent momentum of alternating wins and draws. Prior to this match, they secured a Copa do Brasil victory against Náutico (2-1) and a Serie A win against Grêmio (2-1), but drew with Libertad (1-1) in the CONMEBOL Libertadores and lost to Palmeiras (1-0) in the league. Mirassol, on the other hand, has been inconsistent, with a recent draw against Internacional (1-1), a win against Corinthians (2-1), and a loss to Red Bull Bragantino (1-0). This victory will certainly boost their confidence.
São Paulo's next game is against Bahia on May 31st. Considering Bahia's recent form, which includes wins in Copa do Brasil (4-0 against Paysandu) and Serie A (2-1 against Vitória) along with losses in CONMEBOL Libertadores (1-0 against Atlético Nacional and 1-3 against Nacional) and Serie A (1-0 against Flamengo), São Paulo will need to improve their attacking efficiency if they hope to win. Historical data shows that Sao Paulo has won 4 of the last 5 games against Bahia.
Mirassol will face Sport on June 1st. Sport has been struggling, losing their last four Serie A matches, thus Mirassol will be looking to capitalize on this poor form and continue their winning ways, especially playing at home. Looking at the last head-to-head games against Sport, Mirassol won 1, lost 1 and drawn twice. This match presents a good opportunity for Mirassol to secure another valuable three points.

2025-05-23 | Pre-game insights

On May 24, 2025, Sāo Paulo will face Mirassol at the MorumBIS in a Brazilian Serie A clash. According to AI predictions, Sāo Paulo is heavily favored to win, boasting a 55.9% win probability compared to Mirassol's 19.5%. The AI considers a draw to be reasonably possible, with a 24.6% probability. Sāo Paulo, with a team rate of 0.638, enters the match after a mixed run, including a recent Copa do Brasil victory against Náutico.
Mirassol, rated at 0.439, has struggled for consistency, drawing several of their recent matches. Sāo Paulo's attack will be spearheaded by young phenom Alerrandro, whose pace and clinical finishing have made him a constant threat, and the experienced midfielder, Wellington Rato. Considering past encounters, where Sāo Paulo has dominated Mirassol, the AI's prediction seems plausible. Fans are eagerly anticipating whether Sāo Paulo can live up to the hype and secure a victory on their home turf. The game promises to be a captivating contest between two teams with contrasting recent form and ambitions in the league.