Football Result

Robert Arboleda 49'
André Silva 85' Pen
Alexander Aravena 37'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
50.5%
28.1%
21.4%
We made the right call.
Power Comparison in the League
0.634
0.541
Game Stats
Goals
2
1
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots
20
3
Possession
60.6%
39.4%
Fouls
14
13
Yellow Cards
4
4
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
8
3
Offsides
1
0
Saves
2
3
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-4-2


Location
MorumBIS, Sao Paulo, Brazil
Attendance
34,579
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Sao Paulo
D L W D W
Gremio
D D D W L
2025-05-18 | Game Summary

In a match valid for the Brazilian Serie A, São Paulo defeated Grêmio 2-1 at the MorumBIS in Sao Paulo on May 17, 2025. The match saw São Paulo dominating possession with 60.6% against Grêmio's 39.4%. São Paulo also registered a total of 20 shots, with 5 on target, while Grêmio had only 3 shots, all on target.
The game events included goals from Robert Arboleda (49') and André Silva (85' Pen) for São Paulo, and Alexander Aravena (37') for Grêmio. Both teams committed a similar number of fouls, 14 by São Paulo and 13 by Grêmio, and received 4 yellow cards each. São Paulo's formation was a 4-2-3-1, while Grêmio played with a 4-4-2.
The AI pre-game prediction correctly forecasted a win for São Paulo, aligning with the actual result. The AI model did not expect a balanced game, which was reflected in São Paulo's dominance in possession and shots.
São Paulo's recent form has been mixed, with a recent draw against Libertad in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, a loss against Palmeiras in the Brazilian Serie A, and a win against Alianza Lima in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, preceded by a draw against Fortaleza in the league and a win against Náutico in Copa do Brasil. Grêmio's form has also been inconsistent, with recent draws against Godoy Cruz and Red Bull Bragantino, a goalless draw against Atlético Grau, a win against Santos and a loss against CSA in Copa do Brasil.
São Paulo's next game is against Náutico in the Copa do Brasil on May 20, 2025, while Grêmio will face CSA in the same competition on the same date. The last head-to-head match between São Paulo and Náutico was a 2-1 victory for São Paulo. Grêmio and CSA recently played each other in Copa do Brasil with CSA winning 3-2.
São Paulo has won 3 of the last 5 matches against Grêmio, highlighting their historical advantage. Considering São Paulo's current form and their next match against Náutico, they might face some challenges given their recent draw against Libertad and the fact that they just played Náutico in Copa do Brasil. Grêmio, after a series of draws and a recent loss against CSA, will need to improve their performance against CSA in the next fixture.

2025-05-16 | Pre-game insights

The AI has spoken: Su00e3o Paulo is predicted to win their Brazilian Serie A match against Gru00eamio on May 17, 2025, at MorumBIS. Despite Su00e3o Paulo's recent draw in the CONMEBOL Libertadores and loss to Palmeiras, the AI gives them a 50.5% win probability compared to Gru00eamio's 21.4%. A draw sits at 28.1%. Su00e3o Paulo's key player, young midfielder Pablo Maia, will be crucial in controlling the game's tempo. Gru00eamio, coming off a string of draws, will need a stellar performance from their striker, João Pedro Galvão, to upset the prediction. Su00e3o Paulo's recent home form in Serie A has been solid, a factor likely contributing to the AI's prediction. However, Gru00eamio will look to capitalize on Su00e3o Paulo's defensive lapses, demonstrated by their recent red card in the Libertadores match. The last head-to-head at MorumBIS saw Su00e3o Paulo victorious, a history they'll aim to repeat.