Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

Vasco da Gama convincingly defeated Fortaleza 3-0 in their Brazilian Serie A match at the Estádio São Januário on May 17, 2025. The home side dominated the match, converting their chances efficiently. Nuno Moreira opened the scoring early in the 3rd minute, setting the tone for Vasco's dominance. Pablo Vegetti then sealed the victory with a brace, scoring in the 46th and 80th minutes. The game saw both sides reduced to 10 men after Philippe Coutinho from Vasco and Marinho from Fortaleza received red cards in the 68th minute.
Statistically, Vasco da Gama held a slight edge in possession with 50.2% compared to Fortaleza's 49.8%. Vasco also proved more clinical, registering 7 shots on target out of 14 total shots, while Fortaleza only managed 3 on target from their 10 attempts. Vasco's goalkeeper made 3 saves, while Fortaleza's counterpart had 4 saves. Vasco committed slightly more fouls (12) than Fortaleza (11), resulting in 2 yellow cards for Vasco and 1 for Fortaleza.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction correctly forecasted a Vasco da Gama win. The AI model didn't expect a balanced game and the prediction was accurate. Vasco da Gama, with a team rate of 0.612 and a predicted win probability of 49.0%, outperformed Fortaleza, whose team rate was 0.658 with a 25.0% win probability.
Vasco da Gama's recent form has been poor prior to this win, having lost their previous four matches across all competitions. Before the game, Vasco da Gama had also faced difficulties in recent matches, especially in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana and Copa do Brasil. Their next match is against Fluminense, where they'll need to carry the momentum from this win, although head-to-head records and Fluminense's recent form suggests a challenging encounter. In the last five direct meetings, Fluminense won 3 times, drew once and lost once.
Fortaleza had a mixed run of form coming into this game. The team won its last two home matches and drew the other three. In contrast with Vasco da Gama, Fortaleza has a Copa Libertadores game in the middle. Their next match is against Cruzeiro. Fortaleza have had mixed results in their last head-to-head matches.

On May 17, 2025, Vasco da Gama will face Fortaleza at the Estádio São Januário in a crucial Brazilian Serie A match. AI algorithms predict a victory for Vasco da Gama, despite their recent struggles, including a painful elimination from the CONMEBOL Sudamericana. Vasco's win probability stands at 49.0%, while Fortaleza has a 25.0% chance, and a draw is predicted with 25.9% probability.
Vasco's recent form has been concerning, with a string of losses across different competitions. The team heavily relies on their young striker, Gabriel Pec, whose pace and finishing abilities could be key to unlocking Fortaleza's defense. However, Fortaleza, fresh off some positive results in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, enters the match with confidence. Their attacking midfielder, Calebe, is known for his creative passes and ability to score from distance. Fortaleza will need to overcome the home crowd's support for Vasco to have a chance. Recent head-to-head games have been a mixed bag, but this time, AI believes Vasco will prevail. The match promises to be a tactical battle, with both teams eager to climb the Serie A standings.