Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In a heated Brazilian Serie A match held on May 18, 2025, Bahia emerged victorious over Vitória with a score of 2-1 at the Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova. The game saw early drama as Jean Lucas of Bahia received a red card in the 5th minute, putting the home side at a disadvantage. Despite playing with ten men for most of the match, Bahia took the lead in the 23rd minute with a goal from Erick Pulga. Vitória, despite dominating possession with 54.4%, struggled to convert their chances, though Renato Kayzer equalized in the 54th minute. Michel Araújo secured the win for Bahia in the 66th minute. To compound Vitória's problems, Pepê was sent off in the 71st minute, leveling the playing field in terms of player count.
The match was characterized by a high number of fouls, with Vitória committing 23 compared to Bahia's 12. Vitória also accumulated four yellow cards, while Bahia received three. Despite Vitória's 23 total shots compared to Bahia's 8, their finishing was poor, with only 8 shots on target against Bahia's 2. Bahia's goalkeeper had a busy day, making 7 saves to preserve their lead. The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored a Bahia win, with a 53.7% probability, which proved accurate. The AI did not expect a balanced game.
Analyzing the teams' recent form, Bahia has been inconsistent, mixing wins in the Copa do Brasil and Serie A with losses in the CONMEBOL Libertadores and other league games. Vitória, similarly, has had mixed results, with recent wins in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana and Serie A interspersed with draws and losses. Looking at the upcoming matches, Bahia faces a tough away game against Grêmio, who have struggled with draws in their recent fixtures but are a strong opponent. Vitória will host Santos, who are also in poor form, offering Vitória a chance to build on their recent wins, despite Santos being considered the favorite based on team ratings.
Looking at previous head-to-head games, Bahia has had the upper hand against Vitória recently, suggesting a psychological advantage in this derby. Historically, Vitória has struggled against Santos. Given these factors, both teams will need to improve their consistency to achieve their goals in the upcoming matches of the Brazilian Serie A.

On May 18, 2025, the Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova in Salvador will host a heated Brazilian Serie A derby between Bahia and Vitória. An AI prediction model favors Bahia with a 53.7% win probability, contrasting Vitória's 21.6%, while a draw stands at 24.7%. Despite Bahia's recent struggles in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, their home form in the league shows promise. The model considers Bahia's overall strength rated at 0.6, edging out Vitória's 0.486. Key player for Bahia, midfielder Caio Alexandre, will be crucial in dictating the tempo. Vitória, despite their recent CONMEBOL Sudamericana win, faces an uphill battle. Last head-to-head games favor Bahia, winning most of them. Will the AI's prediction hold true, or will Vitória defy the odds in this classic derby? All eyes will be on striker Léo Gamalho to see if he can help Vitória win.