Football Result

Renato Kayzer 60', 90'
Pablo Vegetti 42'
Matheus 33'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
37.3%
28.2%
34.5%
That went as expected.
Power Comparison in the League
0.478
0.612
Game Stats
Goals
2
1
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots
12
16
Possession
35.6%
64.4%
Fouls
7
17
Yellow Cards
1
3
Red Cards
1
0
Corners
7
3
Offsides
1
0
Saves
4
2
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-3-3


Location
Estadio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Brazil
2025-05-11 | Game Summary

In a thrilling Brazilian Serie A match held at Estádio Manoel Barradas, Vitória edged out Vasco da Gama with a 2-1 victory. The game, played on May 10, 2025, saw Vitória overcoming a red card issued to Matheus in the 33rd minute to secure the win. Vasco da Gama, despite dominating possession with 64.4%, couldn't convert their advantage into goals.
Pablo Vegetti put Vasco ahead in the 42nd minute, but Renato Kayzer's brace in the 60th and 90th minutes sealed the victory for the home side. Vitória's resilience was evident, scoring twice despite playing with ten men for a significant portion of the match. The match was intense, with Vasco da Gama committing 17 fouls and receiving three yellow cards compared to Vitória's seven fouls and one yellow card. Vitória had 12 total shots with 4 on target and Vasco da Gama had 16 total shots with 5 on target.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction correctly foresaw a Vitória win, aligning with the actual result. The AI model anticipated a balanced game. This victory could be a turning point for Vitória, who have struggled for consistency lately with a recent mix of draws and losses in both Serie A and CONMEBOL Sudamericana. They will need to carry this momentum into their upcoming derby against Bahia. Vitória will visit Bahia on May 18th. Bahia has a better rate than Vitória (0.6 > 0.486). They won against Botafogo and Palmeiras recently, but lost to Nacional.
Vasco da Gama, on the other hand, continues to struggle, with this loss adding to their recent poor run of form. They have suffered losses in both Serie A and CONMEBOL Sudamericana, and a draw in Copa do Brasil. Vasco's next match is against Fortaleza on May 17th. Their current form raises concerns about their ability to compete effectively in their next fixture. Fortaleza have a slightly higher rate than Vasco da Gama (0.658 > 0.612). Vasco da Gama lost their last game against Academia Puerto Cabello and lost against Palmeiras recently. Fortaleza won against Colo Colo and drew a game against São Paulo.
Historically, Vitória's recent form against Vasco da Gama has been mixed, with each team securing victories in their previous encounters. This win will undoubtedly boost Vitória's confidence as they head into the challenging Bahia derby. Meanwhile, Vasco da Gama needs to address their defensive vulnerabilities and attacking woes to improve their performance in the upcoming matches.

2025-05-09 | Pre-game insights

On May 10, 2025, at the Estádio Manoel Barradas, Vitória will face Vasco da Gama in a Brazilian Serie A match. An AI model predicts a Vitória win, despite their recent struggles, including a draw in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana against Defensa y Justicia and a loss to Ceará. The AI gives Vitória a 37.3% chance of winning, slightly higher than Vasco da Gama's 34.5%. Vasco da Gama is also having a hard time, having lost their last match against Academia Puerto Cabello and Palmeiras. The draw probability is calculated at 28.2%. Vitória's hopes rest on their young striker, Gabriel, known for his speed and precision. Vasco da Gama will rely on experienced midfielder, experienced midfielder, Paulinho, to control the game's tempo. It will be interesting to see if AI is correct regarding the final result.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Vitoria
D L D L D
Vasco da Gama
L L D L D