Football Result

Cauly Oliveira Souza 39'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
40.9%
26.8%
32.3%
That went as expected.
Power Comparison in the League
0.598
0.693
Game Stats
Goals
1
0
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots
9
16
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
11
8
Yellow Cards
3
4
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
3
3
Offsides
2
0
Saves
4
1
Team Formations
4-3-3
4-3-3


Location
Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Bahia
W W W W L
Botafogo
W W L L D
2025-05-04 | Game Summary

In a closely contested Brazilian Serie A match on May 3, 2025, Bahia secured a 1-0 victory over Botafogo at the Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova in Salvador. Cauly Oliveira Souza scored the decisive goal for Bahia in the 39th minute. While Botafogo dominated possession with 52%, they failed to convert their 16 total shots into goals, managing only 4 shots on target. Bahia, despite having less possession (48%) and fewer total shots (9), were more clinical in front of goal. Bahia's goalkeeper made 4 saves compared to Botafogo's 1. The match saw a total of 7 yellow cards, with Botafogo receiving 4 and Bahia 3, indicating a physical encounter.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored a Bahia win, which aligned with the actual result. The AI model didn't expect a balanced game, and the statistics suggest that Bahia effectively managed their defensive structure despite Botafogo's attacking attempts. Bahia's win probability was predicted at 40.9% compared to Botafogo's 32.3%. Bahia maintained their winning streak, reflecting their recent form with four wins in their last five games prior to this match. Botafogo, in contrast, had a mixed run of form with 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw in their previous five games.
Analyzing the game in relation to previous matches, Bahia's recent defensive solidity continued, having conceded very few goals in their last matches. Botafogo's struggle to convert chances has been a recurring theme. Bahia's next game is against Flamengo, a significantly tougher opponent based on team rates and Flamengo's recent dominant form. Botafogo will face Internacional, a game where their home advantage and recent head-to-head record could play a crucial role. Botafogo will need to improve their efficiency in front of the goal. Looking at the last head-to-head games, Bahia had a slight advantage in recent matches against Botafogo.

2025-05-02 | Pre-game insights

On May 3rd, 2025, Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova in Salvador will host a Brazilian Serie A clash between Bahia and Botafogo. According to advanced AI analysis, Bahia is predicted to win this encounter. However, with a home win probability of 40.9% and an away win probability of 32.3%, a draw remains a distinct possibility, at 26.8%. Bahia has been in good form recently, with four wins in their last five games, including a victory against Palmeiras. Their star striker, Arthur Sales, will be key to unlocking Botafogo's defense. Botafogo, despite a slightly higher team rate of 0.693 compared to Bahia's 0.598, has shown inconsistent form, losing two of their last five matches. Their hopes rest on the shoulders of experienced midfielder, Eduardo, to control the tempo of the game. Considering the teams' recent head-to-head record, matches between them tend to be closely contested. The AI's prediction leans towards a Bahia victory, but fans should expect a thrilling and unpredictable match.