Football Result

Kaio Jorge 15'
Gabriel Barbosa 90'+7'
Giorgian de Arrascaeta 44'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
26.7%
24.8%
48.4%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
0.564
0.789
Game Stats
Goals
2
1
Shots on Target
11
4
Shots
17
6
Possession
40.7%
59.3%
Fouls
18
9
Yellow Cards
4
2
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
6
5
Offsides
2
1
Saves
3
9
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1


Location
Estadio Mineirao, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
Attendance
52,792
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Cruzeiro
W W L L W
Flamengo
W W D D W
2025-05-05 | Game Summary

In a captivating Brazilian Serie A match held on May 4, 2025, at the Estadio Mineirão, Cruzeiro defied pre-game predictions to secure a 2-1 victory over Flamengo. The AI model had favored Flamengo to win, with a 48.4% probability, while giving Cruzeiro only a 26.7% chance. Kaio Jorge opened the scoring for Cruzeiro in the 15th minute, setting the tone for the home side. Flamengo responded through Giorgian de Arrascaeta just before halftime in the 44th minute, leveling the score. However, Gabriel Barbosa sealed the win for Cruzeiro with a goal in the dying moments of the game (90'+7').
Statistically, Flamengo dominated possession with 59.3% compared to Cruzeiro's 40.7%, but Cruzeiro was far more effective in attack, registering 17 total shots with 11 on target, forcing Flamengo's goalkeeper to make 9 saves. Flamengo only managed 6 total shots, with 4 on target, requiring 3 saves from Cruzeiro's keeper. Cruzeiro also committed nearly double the fouls of Flamengo, 18 to 9, and received twice as many yellow cards (4 against 2). Both teams deployed a 4-2-3-1 formation.
The result underscores Cruzeiro's fighting spirit and tactical effectiveness at home. Cruzeiro's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of wins and losses in both the Brazilian Serie A and the CONMEBOL Sudamericana. Prior to this match, they had won their last two home games but lost two of their last three games overall. Flamengo, despite the loss, has generally been in strong form, with several high-scoring wins in their recent matches, even though they have drawn some games lately.
Looking ahead, Cruzeiro will travel to face Sport on May 11th. Sport is currently struggling, having lost their last four matches in the league and failing to score in three of them. Cruzeiro will look to capitalize on Sport's poor form. Meanwhile, Flamengo will host Bahia on May 10th. Bahia has been on a winning streak lately, securing victories in their last five matches across all competitions. Flamengo will need to be at their best to overcome Bahia's strong form.
This victory for Cruzeiro marks a significant turnaround compared to their recent head-to-head record against Flamengo, where they had struggled to secure wins. For Flamengo, it's a minor setback in what has been a strong run of form, and they'll be keen to bounce back quickly. The game demonstrates that even with AI predictions, the unpredictable nature of football can lead to surprising outcomes, particularly when home advantage and tactical execution come into play. This match underscores the competitive nature of the Brazilian Serie A.

2025-05-03 | Pre-game insights

On May 4th, 2025, all eyes will be on the Estadio Mineirão as Cruzeiro hosts Flamengo in a highly anticipated Brazilian Serie A clash. The game has generated significant buzz, especially since advanced AI algorithms predict a Flamengo victory with a 48.4% probability, compared to Cruzeiro's 26.7%. The draw probability sits at 24.8%. Flamengo enters the match as the favorites, boasting a team strength rate of 0.789, significantly higher than Cruzeiro's 0.564.
Flamengo's recent form has been impressive, including dominant wins against Corinthians and Juventude. The team relies on the brilliance of Gabriel Barbosa, "Gabigol", whose goal-scoring prowess remains a constant threat, and the midfield maestro, Gerson, known for his vision and precise passes. Cruzeiro, despite a recent mixed bag of results including a loss against Palestino in CONMEBOL Sudamericana, has shown resilience with victories over Vila Nova and Vasco da Gama. Their hopes rest on the shoulders of young striker Robert, whose pace and finishing could trouble Flamengo's defense. However, history favors Flamengo, who have won the last three head-to-head games against Cruzeiro.