Football Result
Lewis Ferguson 45' OG
Victor Palsson 52'
Verification of the Result Prediction
Power Comparison in the League
[legacy approach]
Game Stats
Team Formations
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
H2H Record before the game
Scotland
Draws
Iceland
In a surprising turn of events at Hampden Park, Iceland defeated Scotland 3-1 in their International Friendly match. The AI pre-game prediction favored Scotland to win, but Iceland defied expectations. Iceland's Andri Gudjohnsen opened the scoring early in the 8th minute. Scotland responded with a goal from John Souttar in the 25th minute, but an own goal by Lewis Ferguson just before halftime put Iceland back in the lead. Victor Palsson extended Iceland's lead further in the 52nd minute.
Despite having more possession (56.2%) and total shots (15), Scotland struggled to convert their chances, only managing 5 shots on target compared to Iceland's 3 from 5 total shots. Scotland's attacking formation, 5-4-1, was not efficient to break Iceland's 4-2-3-1 formation.
This loss continues a worrying trend for Scotland, who also suffered a heavy defeat against Greece recently. Scotland's form appears inconsistent as they prepare to face Liechtenstein in another International Friendly. On the other hand, Iceland's victory could provide a confidence boost after some recent defeats.
Looking at Scotland's last games and compared to Iceland's, the performance was surprising. Iceland lost 4 of the last 5 games, and Scotland won 3 out of 5 games. Although Scotland won both of the previous games against Liechtenstein, and Liechtenstein lost all of the last 5 games, Scotland needs to improve the team's efficiency to win the next game. The AI model did not expect such an unbalanced game, and predicted a Scotland win with 45.1% probability.