Football Result

Jerson Malagón 9'
Jorge Cardona 29'
Kevin Palacios 18'
Andres Llinas 63'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
44.6%
27.6%
27.7%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
[legacy approach]
0.458
0.578
Game Stats
Goals
2
2
Shots on Target
6
10
Shots
14
21
Possession
34.5%
65.5%
Fouls
10
13
Yellow Cards
4
6
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
7
8
Offsides
4
0
Saves
8
4
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-4-2


Location
Palogrande, Manizales, Colombia
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
2025-05-12 | Game Summary

In a captivating Colombian Primera A match held on May 11, 2025, Once Caldas and Millonarios battled to a 2-2 draw at the Palogrande stadium in Manizales. Once Caldas, playing a 4-2-3-1 formation, took an early lead with goals from Jerson Malagón and Jorge Cardona. Millonarios, employing a 4-4-2 setup, responded with goals from Kevin Palacios and Andres Llinas, ultimately sharing the points.
Despite having only 34.5% possession, Once Caldas managed 14 shots, with 6 on target, forcing 4 saves from the Millonarios goalkeeper. Millonarios dominated possession with 65.5% and unleashed 21 shots, 10 of which were on target, testing the Once Caldas keeper, who made 8 saves. The match was also marked by a high foul count, with Once Caldas committing 10 fouls and receiving 4 yellow cards, while Millonarios committed 13 fouls and received 6 yellow cards.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored a win for Once Caldas, with a 44.6% win probability, while Millonarios had a 27.7% chance, and a draw was predicted at 27.6%. The prediction of a Once Caldas win did not materialize, as the game ended in a draw. The AI model did not expect a balanced game, but the final score indicates a fairly even contest.
Looking at the recent form of both teams, Once Caldas has shown good form, including a recent win in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana. Millonarios, on the other hand, has had a string of draws in their recent Colombian Primera A matches, indicating some inconsistency.
In their upcoming matches, Once Caldas will face Deportivo Pasto away, a team with a mixed recent record, while Millonarios will host Envigado, a team struggling with recent losses. Considering the past head-to-head games, Once Caldas have had some success against Millonarios, including a recent win in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana. This draw continues a trend of close matches between these two sides. The result likely impacts both teams' standings in the Apertura tournament.

2025-05-10 | Pre-game insights

On May 11th, 2025, Once Caldas will face Millonarios at Palogrande in Manizales, Colombia, for a Colombian Primera A match. An AI predicts a victory for Once Caldas, despite Millonarios having a slightly higher team rate (0.578 vs 0.458). The AI gives Once Caldas a 44.6% win probability, while Millonarios has a 27.7% chance, with a 27.6% chance of a draw. Once Caldas has been in good form recently, winning most of their last games, including a victory over Unión Española in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana. However, Millonarios boasts skillful midfielders whose performance could challenge the prediction. Keep an eye on Millonarios' star striker, who might defy the odds. The last match between these teams (2025-03-05) was won by Once Caldas (1-0).