Football Result

Kevin Pérez 16', 43'
Brayan Rovira 90'+2'
Jannenson Sarmiento 49'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
58.5%
23.7%
17.8%
We made the right call.
Power Comparison in the League
0.579
0.292
Game Stats
Goals
3
1
Shots on Target
4
1
Shots
15
9
Possession
64.1%
35.9%
Fouls
7
12
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
7
0
Offsides
1
4
Saves
0
1
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
5-4-1


Location
Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibague, Colombia
2025-05-10 | Game Summary

Deportes Tolima defeated Unión Magdalena 3-1 in their Colombian Primera A match held at Manuel Murillo Toro in Ibague on May 9, 2025. The home side demonstrated dominance with 64.1% possession and a 4-2-3-1 formation, while Unión Magdalena played with a defensive 5-4-1 setup and only maintained 35.9% possession. Kevin Pérez scored twice for Deportes Tolima in the 16th and 43rd minutes, while Jannenson Sarmiento scored for Unión Magdalena in the 49th minute. Brayan Rovira sealed the victory for Deportes Tolima with a goal in the 90+2 minute.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction correctly foresaw a Deportes Tolima win, aligning with the final result. The AI model did not expect a balanced game, reflecting the difference in team rates (0.579 for Deportes Tolima and 0.292 for Unión Magdalena) and win probabilities (58.5% for Deportes Tolima and 17.8% for Unión Magdalena).
Deportes Tolima's recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Their upcoming match is against Independiente Medellín, who have also shown mixed form with two wins and two draws and one loss in their last five games. Deportes Tolima has a slight edge based on recent head-to-head results.
Unión Magdalena's form has been poor, with three draws and two losses in their last five matches. They are struggling to find consistency and will face a tough challenge in their next game against América de Cali. América de Cali is currently in better form with two wins and three draws in their last five matches. Based on recent head-to-head results, América de Cali has a slight advantage.
In their previous encounters, Deportes Tolima has generally held the upper hand against Unión Magdalena, winning three of their last five matches. Deportes Tolima's victory against Unión Magdalena continues their dominance in head-to-head matches. On the other hand, Independiente Medellín has shown mixed results against Deportes Tolima in their previous head-to-head games. América de Cali also dominates in their head-to-head matches against Unión Magdalena.

2025-05-08 | Pre-game insights

On May 9th, 2025, Deportes Tolima will face Unión Magdalena at Manuel Murillo Toro in a Colombian Primera A match. AI predicts a Deportes Tolima victory with a 58.5% probability, against Unión Magdalena's 17.8%. Tolima, led by midfielder Yeison Guzmán, who dictates the tempo of their attacks, enters the match as the favorite, backed by their recent form. Unión Magdalena, struggling this season, will need a stellar performance from their young forward, Ricardo Márquez, if they hope to defy the odds. The AI gives them just a 29.2% team rate, signaling an uphill battle. A draw is considered relatively unlikely, with only a 23.7% chance. Deportes Tolima's recent head-to-head record also favors them, adding weight to the AI's prediction.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance