Football Result

Marcus Vinicius Felicio 89'
Edwin Cardona 40' Pen
Francisco Chaverra 53'
Brayan Léon Muñiz 90'+5'
Jorman Campuzano 90'+5'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
45.4%
27%
27.6%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
0.559
0.579
Game Stats
Goals
1
1
Shots on Target
7
6
Shots
16
12
Possession
46%
54%
Fouls
11
18
Yellow Cards
4
4
Red Cards
2
1
Corners
7
4
Offsides
3
2
Saves
5
6
Team Formations
4-4-2
4-2-3-1


Location
Atanasio Girardot, Medellin, Colombia
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
2025-05-05 | Game Summary

In a heated Medellin derby in the Colombian Primera A, Independiente Medellin and Atletico Nacional battled to a 1-1 draw at the Atanasio Girardot. Atletico Nacional, playing a 4-2-3-1 formation, dominated possession with 54%, while Independiente Medellin, in their 4-4-2, had more shots. Edwin Cardona put Atletico Nacional ahead with a penalty in the 40th minute. The match was marred by disciplinary issues, featuring a total of eight yellow cards and four red cards. Francisco Chaverra and Brayan Leon Muñiz were sent off for Independiente Medellin, while Jorman Campuzano received a late red card for Atletico Nacional. Marcus Vinicius Felicio scored a late equalizer for Independiente Medellin in the 89th minute, salvaging a point for the home side.
The AI prediction favored an Independiente Medellin win, but the match ended in a draw, proving the unpredictability of the derby. Statistically, Independiente Medellin had 16 total shots compared to Atletico Nacional's 12, and seven shots on target to Atletico Nacional's six. Both keepers made a total of 6 and 5 saves, respectively. Despite the draw, the match showcased the intensity expected from this Colombian Primera A rivalry.
Independiente Medellin's recent form has been inconsistent, with two draws, two wins, and one loss in their last five league games. Their next match is away against Bucaramanga, who have struggled recently with three losses and two draws in their last five games. Atletico Nacional, meanwhile, will host Internacional in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, with their recent form showing two wins, two losses, and one draw.
Analyzing previous games, Independiente Medellin has had mixed results, struggling to maintain consistency. Atletico Nacional, coming off a 3-0 win against Deportivo Pasto, has also shown vulnerabilities, especially in away games. The previous head-to-head match this year ended in a 1-1 draw, highlighting the balanced nature of this rivalry. The upcoming matches will be crucial for both teams, with Atletico Nacional focusing on their continental campaign and Independiente Medellin aiming to improve their league standing.

2025-05-03 | Pre-game insights

The Colombian Primera A is set for a fiery clash on May 4th, 2025, as Independiente Medellín hosts Atlético Nacional at the Atanasio Girardot. According to advanced AI analysis, Independiente Medellín is favored to win, with a 45.4% probability compared to Atlético Nacional's 27.6%. While both teams show similar strength ratings, recent form suggests Medellín might have the edge, especially with their star striker, Diber Cambindo, in fine form. Atlético Nacional, however, will be relying on their experienced midfielder, Jarlan Barrera, to control the tempo. The AI gives a 27% chance of a draw, hinting at a potentially tight contest. Medellín's recent home form has been solid, while Nacional needs to recover after their recent defeat in CONMEBOL Libertadores. This promises to be a captivating encounter.