Football Result
Andrés Arroyo 28'
Verification of the Result Prediction
Power Comparison in the League
Game Stats
Team Formations
Deportes Tolima emerged victorious in their Colombian Primera A clash against La Equidad on April 26, 2025, securing a 2-1 win at home in Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibague. Fabian Chaverra put La Equidad ahead early in the 7th minute, but Deportes Tolima responded with goals from Juan Pablo Nieto in the 19th minute and Andrés Arroyo in the 28th minute. A dramatic turn saw Andrés Arroyo receive a red card in added time of the first half, leaving Deportes Tolima with ten men for the entire second half.
Despite having less possession (44%) compared to La Equidad (56%), Deportes Tolima were more clinical in front of goal, converting 5 of their 9 shots on target. La Equidad, with 10 total shots, only managed to get 2 on target, highlighting their struggles to break down Tolima's defense. Both teams committed a high number of fouls, with La Equidad conceding 10 and Deportes Tolima 6. The match was also marred by numerous yellow cards, with La Equidad receiving 6 and Deportes Tolima 5.
The AI pre-game prediction favored Deportes Tolima with a 58.4% win probability, and the actual result aligned with this prediction, indicating a successful forecast. The AI model did not expect a balanced game. Deportes Tolima's recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five games. La Equidad have also had inconsistent results with two wins and three losses.
Looking ahead, Deportes Tolima will travel to face Deportivo Cali, who have shown decent form recently with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. The last head-to-head games between Deportivo Cali and Deportes Tolima have been tight. La Equidad will host Alianza FC, who are struggling with three losses and two wins in their last five games. Historically, La Equidad have had a slight edge in their head-to-head encounters with Alianza FC.
Analyzing the game against La Equidad in relation to previous matches, Deportes Tolima have shown a tendency to score goals at home, as seen in previous wins against Bucaramanga and Llaneros. However, their away form has been less impressive. La Equidad's struggle to convert possession into goals mirrors their difficulties in previous matches against Deportivo Cali and Once Caldas. The high number of fouls and yellow cards in this game continues a trend seen in many Colombian Primera A matches.
On April 26, 2025, Deportes Tolima will face La Equidad at Manuel Murillo Toro in a Colombian Primera A match. AI is predicting a victory for Deportes Tolima, with a win probability of 58.4% compared to La Equidad's 18.2%. Deportes Tolima, despite a recent loss against Envigado (3-1), has shown strength at home, particularly with midfielder Jeison Lucumi orchestrating plays. Their attacking prowess, combined with La Equidad's inconsistent away form, contributes to the AI's confidence. A draw is considered less likely, with a probability of 23.4%. Will Deportes Tolima's in-form striker, Brayan Gil, lead them to victory as predicted? The match promises to be a test of skill and strategy under the Colombian sky.
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
H2H Record before the game
Deportes Tolima
Draws
La Equidad