Football Result
Facundo Colidio 28'
Ignacio Fernández 33'
Miguel Borja 90'+10' Pen
Verification of the Result Prediction
Power Comparison in the League
Game Stats
Team Formations
River Plate dominated Vélez Sarsfield in their Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol match, securing a convincing 4-1 victory at the Mâs Monumental. The home side showcased their attacking prowess, with Sebastián Driussi, Facundo Colidio and Ignacio Fernández finding the net in the first half, establishing a commanding lead. Miguel Borja sealed the win with a late penalty. Vélez Sarsfield's Maher Carrizo managed to pull one back before halftime, but they struggled to contain River Plate's relentless pressure, ultimately ending the match with ten men after Valentín Gómez's late red card.
River Plate’s superior possession, 58.4%, translated into more scoring opportunities, with 17 total shots compared to Vélez Sarsfield’s 10. River Plate also displayed better accuracy, hitting 8 shots on target compared to Vélez's 3. The match was physical, with Vélez Sarsfield committing 18 fouls and receiving 4 yellow cards, while River Plate committed 15 fouls and received 3 yellow cards.
The AI's pre-game prediction of a River Plate win proved accurate, aligning with their higher team rate of 0.652 compared to Vélez Sarsfield's 0.567. The AI's predicted win probability for River Plate was 59.2%, and the actual result confirmed this assessment.
River Plate is in good form, having won their previous match against Boca Juniors and demonstrating a strong attacking output in recent games. Their next challenge is against Barcelona SC in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, where they will aim to carry their momentum. Barcelona SC has struggled in recent Libertadores matches, making River Plate a formidable opponent.
Vélez Sarsfield's form is mixed, with recent wins interspersed with losses. Their next match is against Olimpia in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, where they will need to improve their discipline and defensive solidity after the defeat against River Plate. Olimpia have had difficulties lately, including a heavy loss against Vélez Sarsfield in their previous head-to-head match.
Historically, matches between River Plate and Vélez Sarsfield have been competitive, but River Plate have often come out on top at home. The comprehensive victory in this game reflects River Plate's current strength and their ability to capitalize on their home advantage.
On May 4th, 2025, the Mâs Monumental in Buenos Aires will host a highly anticipated Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol clash between River Plate and Vélez Sarsfield. AI algorithms are predicting a River Plate victory, with a convincing 59.2% win probability, overshadowing Vélez Sarsfield's slim 16.9% chance. The draw probability stands at 23.9%. River Plate, boasting a team rating of 0.652, enters the match with momentum from their recent 2-1 Superclásico win against Boca Juniors. The team's attacking prowess is spearheaded by the dynamic duo of Pablo Solari and Claudio Echeverri, both capable of changing the game in a heartbeat. Vélez Sarsfield, rated at 0.567, will be looking to upset the odds, relying on their defensive structure to contain River's attacking threats. River Plate's recent form shows a mix of victories and draws, while Vélez has had a more inconsistent run. The last head-to-head at Mâs Monumental in October ended in a draw 1-1. Can River Plate live up to the AI's prediction, or will Vélez Sarsfield pull off a surprise?
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
H2H Record before the game
River Plate
Draws
Velez Sarsfield