Football Result

Diego Rossi 54' Pen
Kévin Denkey 6'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
49.5%
25.4%
25.1%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
0.626
0.584
Game Stats
Goals
1
1
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots
16
10
Possession
68.3%
31.7%
Fouls
9
13
Yellow Cards
0
1
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
8
8
Offsides
2
1
Saves
2
5
Team Formations
3-4-3
5-3-2


Location
Lower.com Field, Columbus, Ohio
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
2025-05-18 | Game Summary

In a tightly contested MLS match at Lower.com Field on May 17, 2025, the Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati battled to a 1-1 draw. FC Cincinnati took an early lead with a goal from Kévin Denkey in the 6th minute. Columbus Crew responded in the 54th minute through a Diego Rossi penalty. Columbus Crew dominated possession with 68.3%, but FC Cincinnati's defensive setup frustrated their attacking efforts. Columbus Crew managed 16 total shots with 6 on target, while FC Cincinnati had 10 shots with only 3 finding the target. The goalkeepers were kept busy, with the FC Cincinnati goalkeeper making 5 saves compared to the Columbus Crew's 2 saves.
The AI's pre-game prediction favored a Columbus Crew win, but the match ended in a draw, highlighting the unpredictable nature of soccer, especially in derby games. Columbus Crew, playing in a 3-4-3 formation, struggled to break down FC Cincinnati's 5-3-2 defensive structure. FC Cincinnati committed more fouls (13) than Columbus Crew (9), resulting in one yellow card for the away side.
Columbus Crew's recent form has been inconsistent, with several draws interspersed with wins and a loss, showing they are not consistent. They will travel to face Charlotte FC next, a team they beat recently (4-2) but has struggled in recent games. FC Cincinnati, on the other hand, has been in good form, winning the majority of their recent matches. Their next game is away against Atlanta United FC, a team with whom they have a mixed head-to-head record.
Looking at the previous head-to-head games between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati, the results have been varied, with both teams securing wins. This game followed a similar pattern to their recent encounters, being a hard-fought and competitive match. Columbus Crew's previous games also show a tendency to draw, while FC Cincinnati tends to win or lose. The draw in this game contrasts with Columbus Crew's recent 4-2 victory over Charlotte, indicating a potential vulnerability in breaking down well-organized defenses like Cincinnati’s. Both teams will need to adjust their strategies based on their recent performances to improve their chances in their upcoming matches.

2025-05-16 | Pre-game insights

On May 17, 2025, Lower.com Field in Columbus, Ohio, will host a heated MLS match between the Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati. AI algorithms predict a victory for the home team, Columbus Crew, with a 49.5% win probability, despite their recent series of draws. FC Cincinnati, with a 25.1% chance of winning, will undoubtedly put up a strong fight. The Crew's attacking prowess, spearheaded by their dynamic midfielder Darlington Nagbe, and their solid defense, anchored by center-back Milos Degenek, contribute to their higher rating of 0.626 compared to Cincinnati's 0.584. While Cincinnati's Luciano Acosta is known for creating opportunities, the AI suggests it won't be enough to overcome the Crew's home advantage. A draw remains a possibility, holding a 25.4% probability, given the historical competitiveness between these Ohio rivals. This game promises high stakes and intense action as both teams battle for crucial points in the MLS standings. The AI has spoken; now, the players will write their own story on the pitch. Will the prediction hold true, or will Cincinnati defy the odds?