Football Result

Sean Zawadzki 28'
Max Arfsten 62'
Josef Martínez 40'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
55.2%
26.1%
18.6%
We made the right call.
Power Comparison in the League
0.632
0.298
Game Stats
Goals
2
1
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots
15
15
Possession
62.2%
37.8%
Fouls
6
14
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
7
2
Offsides
3
3
Saves
5
0
Team Formations
3-4-3
3-4-2-1


Location
Lower.com Field, Columbus, Ohio
Attendance
20,737
2025-04-27 | Game Summary

In a match held on April 26, 2025, the Columbus Crew triumphed over the San Jose Earthquakes with a score of 2-1 in their MLS regular season game at Lower.com Field in Columbus, Ohio. The home side, playing in a 3-4-3 formation, had 62.2% of the possession and 15 total shots, three of which were on target. The San Jose Earthquakes, lining up in a 3-4-2-1, also registered 15 total shots but managed to get six on target. Columbus committed fewer fouls, 6 compared to San Jose's 14, and received two yellow cards while San Jose received none.
Sean Zawadzki opened the scoring for Columbus in the 28th minute, but Josef Martínez equalized for San Jose in the 40th minute. Max Arfsten then secured the win for the Crew with a goal in the 62nd minute. The AI-powered prediction before the game favored a Columbus Crew win, and the actual result aligned with this prediction. The AI model did not expect a balanced game, likely due to the higher home team rate (0.632) compared to the away team rate (0.298). The win probability predicted by the AI before the game was 55.2% for Columbus Crew.
Columbus Crew’s recent form has been inconsistent with a loss to Inter Miami CF preceded by three wins and a draw. San Jose Earthquakes have struggled, with three losses in their last five games, including a heavy defeat to Charlotte FC. Analyzing the previous games it is easy to spot that Columbus Crew had a very similar game against CF Montréal (2-1). Also, San Jose Earthquakes have already played against Charlotte FC (1-4).
The next game for Columbus Crew is at home against Charlotte FC, a team in good form, winning 4 of their last 5 games and they defeated San Jose Earthquakes with a 4-1 score. San Jose Earthquakes will face Portland Timbers at home, a team that has shown resilience with recent draws and a strong away win against Sporting Kansas City. Columbus Crew and Charlotte FC drew in 1-1 the last time they met at Lower.com Field, while San Jose Earthquakes lost 1-2 in their last home game against Portland Timbers.
Considering the historical head-to-head results, Columbus has had a slight edge over San Jose, although many matches have been close.

2025-04-25 | Pre-game insights

On April 26th, 2025, the Columbus Crew will face the San Jose Earthquakes at Lower.com Field. An AI model predicts a victory for the home side with a 55.2% win probability, compared to the Earthquakes' 18.6%. The Crew, boasting a team strength rating of 0.632, will rely on the creative midfield play of Darlington Nagbe and the finishing prowess of Cucho Hernandez to secure the win. Their recent form has been strong, with three wins in their last five matches. The Earthquakes, rated at 0.298, will need a stellar performance from their goalkeeper, JT Marcinkowski, to defy the odds. However, their recent results have been inconsistent, making an away win unlikely. The draw probability stands at 26.1%, suggesting a potentially tight affair. But the AI leans heavily towards a Columbus Crew triumph in this MLS encounter. The Crew will be hoping to avenge their recent defeat to Inter Miami.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance