Football Result

Guillaume Vacter 67'
Ethan Zubak 40'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
37%
27.6%
35.4%
We were not sure. Balanced game was expected.
Power Comparison in the League
0.53
0.567
Game Stats
Goals
1
1
Shots on Target
4
1
Shots
17
3
Possession
55.9%
44.1%
Fouls
18
10
Yellow Cards
4
3
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
10
3
Offsides
0
0
Saves
0
3
Team Formations
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1


Location
Highmark Stadium, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Attendance
5,166
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
2025-08-10 | Game Summary

The USL Championship match on 2025-08-09 between Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Orange County SC at Highmark Stadium ended in a 1-1 draw. Ethan Zubak put Orange County SC ahead in the 40th minute, but Guillaume Vacter equalized for Pittsburgh in the 67th minute.
The game saw Pittsburgh dominate possession with 55.9%, and registering 17 total shots compared to Orange County's meager 3. However, only 4 of Pittsburgh's shots were on target, highlighting issues with finishing. Orange County SC only had 1 shot on target. Pittsburgh committed a higher number of fouls (18 vs 10) and received more yellow cards (4 vs 3).
The AI's pre-game prediction favored a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win, which ultimately proved incorrect, even though the AI model correctly anticipated a balanced game. The draw probability was predicted at 27.6%, somewhat close to the actual result.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds, playing in a 3-4-2-1 formation, have been struggling for consistency, drawing many of their recent matches, including against Miami FC, Portland Hearts of Pine, Detroit City FC and Loudoun United FC, before winning to Rhode Island FC. Orange County SC, in a 4-2-3-1 formation, have had more positive results recently, winning against Phoenix Rising FC, Oakland Roots, Las Vegas Lights FC, before losing to Monterey Bay and drawing with Loudoun United FC.
Looking ahead, Pittsburgh Riverhounds will face Charleston Battery at home. Charleston has been in strong form recently with many wins and is a formidable opponent and will test Pittsburgh. The Battery have won the last two head-to-head matches against the Riverhounds, even though Pittsburgh have won 3 of the last 5 games.
Orange County SC will travel to face Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC. Orange County SC has a slightly higher team rate but Colorado Springs has been getting some recent wins. Orange County has won the last match against Colorado Springs but has only won 3 of the last 5 games.

2025-08-08 | Pre-game insights

On August 9th, 2025, Highmark Stadium will host a USL Championship match between the Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Orange County SC. AI predicts a Pittsburgh Riverhounds victory. Although Orange County has slightly higher rate (0.567 vs 0.53), the Riverhounds have a 37.0% win probability compared to Orange County's 35.4%. The draw probability is calculated at 27.6%. Pittsburgh's recent form shows resilience, particularly with midfielder Robbie Mertz orchestrating play. However, Orange County's forward Thomas Amang will pose a significant threat. The AI highlights Amang's clinical finishing as a key factor for Orange County. Will the AI's prediction come true?