Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League
[legacy approach]

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In a USL Championship match held on May 17, 2025, Hartford Athletic and Louisville City FC played to a 1-1 draw at Trinity Health Stadium. Louisville City FC, predicted to win by AI with a 45.2% probability, failed to secure the victory, showing that even with a higher team rate (0.652) compared to Hartford (0.336), the game's outcome can deviate from predictions. The AI model did not expect a balanced game.
Phillip Goodrum put Louisville City FC ahead in the 39th minute, but Kyle Edwards equalized for Hartford Athletic late in the 88th minute. Hartford Athletic played with ten men after Adewale Obalola received a red card in the 65th minute. Louisville City FC had more shots (11) compared to Hartford (6), but only managed to get two on target, while Hartford had one shot on target. Hartford had slightly more possession (53.1%) than Louisville City FC (46.9%). Louisville City FC committed more fouls (19) than Hartford Athletic (13), and both teams received three yellow cards each.
Hartford Athletic's recent form has been inconsistent with 2 draws, 2 losses and 1 win in their last five matches. Their next match is away against Indy Eleven. Indy Eleven are also struggling, having drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last five games. The last head-to-head game at Hartford ended in a draw, and Indy Eleven have generally performed well at home against Hartford. Hartford Athletic's previous games have seen a mix of results, including a heavy defeat to Charleston Battery, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
Louisville City FC's form is slightly better with 2 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws in their last five matches. Their next game is away against Monterey Bay. Monterey Bay has had a similar run of form with 1 win and 4 draws in their last 5 matches. Louisville City FC has a good recent record against Monterey Bay, winning the last head-to-head match. Louisville City FC's recent form shows a struggle to convert chances, having drawn their last match 0-0.
Comparing this game to previous matches, Hartford Athletic's struggles to maintain consistency continue, while Louisville City FC's inability to convert their dominance into a win echoes their recent draw against Pittsburgh Riverhounds. The draw highlights the unpredictable nature of the USL Championship, even when AI predictions favor one team.

On May 17, 2025, Hartford Athletic will face Louisville City FC at Trinity Health Stadium in a USL Championship match. AI predicts a Louisville City FC victory, with a 45.2% win probability compared to Hartford's 28.6%. The draw probability is estimated at 26.2%. Hartford Athletic's recent form has been inconsistent, with a draw against Detroit City FC, a loss to Charleston Battery, a win against Birmingham Legion FC, and another loss to Loudoun United FC. In their last match, they drew in U.S. Open Cup against Portland Hearts of Pine. Louisville City FC has shown better form, drawing with Pittsburgh Riverhounds, losing to Minnesota United FC in U.S. Open Cup, defeating Lexington and Tampa Bay Rowdies. The team also won against Loudoun United FC in U.S. Open Cup. Louisville City's strong midfielder, Niall McCabe, will be key to controlling the game. However, Hartford will rely on their striker, Deshane Beckford, to create attacking opportunities. Last head-to-head games point to an advantage for Louisville City FC. Given their higher team rating of 0.652 compared to Hartford's 0.336, the AI prediction favors Louisville City FC.