Football Result

Rodrigo da Costa 45'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
46.1%
27.2%
26.7%
That went as expected.
Power Comparison in the League
[legacy approach]
0.436
0.518
Game Stats
Goals
1
0
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots
7
22
Possession
47.6%
52.4%
Fouls
12
11
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
0
10
Offsides
0
0
Saves
5
1
Team Formations
3-4-3
4-1-4-1


Location
First Horizon Stadium at WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary, North Carolina
Attendance
2,788
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
H2H Record before the game
1
North Carolina FC
0
Draws
0
Orange County SC
2025-05-10 | Game Summary

In a USL Championship match held on May 9, 2025, North Carolina FC secured a 1-0 victory over Orange County SC at First Horizon Stadium. Rodrigo da Costa's goal in the 45th minute proved decisive for the home side. Despite Orange County SC dominating possession with 52.4% and unleashing a barrage of 22 shots compared to North Carolina FC's 7, they only managed 5 shots on target, with the North Carolina FC goalkeeper making 5 saves. North Carolina FC, playing a 3-4-3 formation, were clinical in converting one of their few chances. Orange County SC, lined up in a 4-1-4-1, failed to capitalize on their attacking opportunities.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction correctly forecasted a North Carolina FC win, aligning with the actual result. However, the AI did not expect a balanced game, which the statistics seem to contradict, given Orange County's dominance in shots and possession.
North Carolina FC's recent form has been mixed, with a U.S. Open Cup loss to Charlotte FC, but a USL Championship win against Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Their next game is at home against Oakland Roots. Oakland Roots have also shown inconsistent form, losing to Sacramento Republic FC in their last match but previously defeating Orange County SC. Considering North Carolina FC's historical dominance in head-to-head matches against Oakland Roots, their chances look promising.
Orange County SC's form is also patchy, with a recent win against FC Tulsa, but a loss to Oakland Roots. Their next game is at home against New Mexico United. The previous matches against New Mexico United are mixed and suggest Orange County SC may face challenges in their next match. Comparing to the previous game of both teams, North Carolina FC continues their positive win rate at home and Orange County SC lost 2 of the last 3 games on the road.